Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)


	Sestao		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.05	4.85
	1.74	3.14	5.54
	1.96	3.18	3.79	Watch
	1.76	3.02	5
	1.72	3.1	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.92)	3.1 ↑ (3)	4.9 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
51.6%

Draw
29.7%

SD Logroñés
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

30.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

29%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Sestao - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, San Martin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Sestao is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

SD Logroñés is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SD Logroñés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sestao is considered a favorite.

We predict that Sestao will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sestao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.11.25	Sestao - Eibar B	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Beasain - Sestao	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sestao - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Mutilvera - Sestao	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Sestao - Ebro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.11.25	SD Logroñés - Ejea	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	SD Logroñés - Náxara	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Tudelano - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	SD Logroñés - Racing Santander	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.03.24	Sestao - SD Logroñés	2:0
10.09.23	SD Logroñés - Sestao	3:0

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