Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Celta de Vigo B		Sestao

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.1	5.25
	1.77	3.3	3.9
	1.7	3.45	5
	1.72	3.63	5.35
	1.64	3.52	5.11	Watch
	1.66	3.48	5.2
	1.7	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.87)	3.42 ↑ (3.14)	4.97 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
54.5%

Draw
27%

Sestao
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

29.2%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo B's performance.

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Celta de Vigo B - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vidal Girona M. V. (G) 29. Gavian P. 5. Lago Y. 4. Alonso G. 21. Fernandez M. 3. Tincho 16. Gonzalez H. 8. Roman M. 15. Antanon A. 17. Marcos O. 9. Escobar J.	13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 5. Martinez G. 21. Miranda A. 12. Barandalla M. 8. Garai G. 6. Gomez A. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 15. Bustillo M. 18. Cordoba A. 9. Aznar D.
Substitutes
31. Arcos A. 14. Burcio H. 1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 28. Conde M. 7. Diez S. 23. Garriel I. 11. Guedes J. 18. Lopez J. 42. Tarba I. 24. Vazquez J. 2. Vicente	2. Alvarez J. 23. Efremov A. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 7. Planas A. 4. Relu 19. Rojo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Guedes J. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gavian P. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
57', 🟨,
59', Guedes J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
59', Escobar J. ↓, Burcio H. ↑,
61', Aznar D. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
65', Bustillo M. ↓, Relu ↑,
65', Miranda A. ↓, Efremov A. ↑,
72', Antanon A. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
82', Garai G. ↓, Planas A. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽,
90+2', Marcos O. ↓, Tarba I. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Celta de Vigo B is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sestao is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Celta de Vigo B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Celta de Vigo B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Celta de Vigo B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.25	FC Andorra - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWL
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.03.25	Sestao - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Arenteiro - Sestao	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Lugo - Sestao	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sestao - Zamora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Sestao - Celta de Vigo B	2:0
24.02.24	Celta de Vigo B - Sestao	4:0
05.11.23	Sestao - Celta de Vigo B	1:0

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