Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 24

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Sestri Levante		Legnago Salus

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.95	3.8
	1.93	2.75	3.6
	1.97	3.09	4.13
	1.97	3.18	4.1	Watch
	2	2.9	3.9
	1.89	3.15	3.96	Watch
	1.93	2.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.12)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)	3.87 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
46.4%

Draw
30.3%

Legnago Salus
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

24.6%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legnago Salus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestri Levante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legnago Salus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Sestri Levante - Legnago Salus Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sestri Levante will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Legnago Salus will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Guadagno J. (G) 27. Podda L. 4. Pane M. 95. Primasso A. 43. Montebugnoli M. 86. Raggio G. S. 18. Rosetti M. 7. Durmush M. 10. Clemenza L. 17. Goglino P. A. 9. Parravicini N.	91. Perucchini F. (G) 4. Tanco G. J. 26. Noce M. 27. Ampollini F. 11. Zanetti L. 19. Diaby A. 25. Bombagi F. (C) 70. Leoncini M. 93. Franzolini A. 9. Svidercoschi S. 99. Basso Ricci A.
Substitutes
6. Brunet J. 58. Fedele M. 3. Furno C. 22. Fusco E. (G) 25. Nunziatini F. 14. Oneto E. 19. Pavanello A.	73. Ballan L. 20. Banse O. 67. Barbera D. 38. Berto A. (G) 29. Gazzola M. 7. Morello M. 23. Muteba V. 18. Peschetola L. 1. Rigon A. (G) 21. Ruggeri G. 31. Tonica D. 32. Zanandrea G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Raggio G. S. ↓, Oneto E. ↑,
29', Franzolini A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Goglino P. A. ↓, Nunziatini F. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Ampollini F. (Own goal),
49', 1 - 1, Basso Ricci A. ⚽,
52', Parravicini N. 🟨,
53', Rosetti M. 🟨,
56', Bombagi F. 🟨,
68', Tanco G. J. ↓, Muteba V. ↑,
68', Leoncini M. ↓, Ruggeri G. ↑,
72', Montebugnoli M. ↓, Furno C. ↑,
76', Basso Ricci A. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
78', Nunziatini F. 🟨,
85', Parravicini N. 🟥,
87', Podda L. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
89', Svidercoschi S. ↓, Banse O. ↑,
89', Diaby A. ↓, Peschetola L. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Sestri Levante will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
18.01.25	SPAL - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Sestri Levante - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Pineto - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Sestri Levante - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Sestri Levante - Carpi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLWL
- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
18.01.25	Legnago Salus - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Vis Pesaro - Legnago Salus	3:0 ✺
05.01.25	Legnago Salus - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
20.12.24	Pontedera - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Legnago Salus - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.09.24	Legnago Salus - Sestri Levante	0:3
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.05.23	Sestri Levante - Legnago Salus	3:1

Sestri Levante - Legnago Salus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide