Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 22

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Sestri Levante		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.45
	2.65	2.75	2.42
	2.73	3.14	2.63	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.63	3.16	2.51	Watch
	2.65	2.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.87)	2.94 ↓ (3.04)	2.49 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
33.6%

Draw
30.4%

Pontedera
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

28.3%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontedera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Sestri Levante - Pontedera Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sestri Levante will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Pontedera will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Guadagno J. (G) 27. Podda L. 4. Pane M. 5. Valentini N. 43. Montebugnoli M. 58. Fedele M. 18. Rosetti M. 14. Oneto E. 10. Clemenza L. 19. Pavanello A. 7. Durmush M.	12. Tantalocchi E. (G) 23. Cerretti C. 6. Pretato M. 5. Martinelli R. 21. Perretta G. 18. Guidi M. 27. Ladinetti R. 13. Scaccabarozzi J. 17. Vitali P. 11. Ianesi S. 9. Italeng J.
Substitutes
37. Brugognone G. 6. Brunet J. 8. Conti F. 3. Furno C. 22. Fusco E. (G) 17. Goglino P. A. 23. Nenci O. 25. Nunziatini F. 95. Primasso A.	1. Calvani S. (G) 14. Corona G. 19. Espeche M. 2. Gagliardi L. 3. Maggini F. 33. Migliardi F. 25. Pietra N. 16. Sala M. 8. van Ransbeeck K. 30. Vivoli N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Pane M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Scaccabarozzi J. 🟨,
63', Vitali P. 🟨,
65', Clemenza L. ↓, Furno C. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Ianesi S. ⚽,
72', Vitali P. ↓, van Ransbeeck K. ↑,
81', Italeng J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
88', Ianesi S. ↓, Sala M. ↑,
89', Podda L. ↓, Primasso A. ↑,
89', Valentini N. ↓, Conti F. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Sestri Levante is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pontedera is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:8 (average 0.3:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sestri Levante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
04.01.25	Pineto - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Sestri Levante - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Sestri Levante - Carpi	1:3 ✺
06.12.24	Ascoli - Sestri Levante	4:1 ✺
01.12.24	Sestri Levante - Perugia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLT
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.25	Ternana - Pontedera	0:0 ✺
20.12.24	Pontedera - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Pontedera - Perugia	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Rimini - Pontedera	5:1 ✺
02.12.24	Pontedera - SPAL	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.09.24	Pontedera - Sestri Levante	4:1
07.01.24	Sestri Levante - Pontedera	0:2
01.09.23	Pontedera - Sestri Levante	2:0

Sestri Levante - Pontedera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide