Match Info

Date: 13 July 2020, Monday


	Setúbal		Famalicão

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.4	3.35	2.08	Watch
	3.35	3.4	2.08
	3.51	3.49	2.14
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.52	3.38	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.06)	3.4 ↑ (3.2)	2.1 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
27.2%

Draw
27.7%

Famalicão
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

21.3%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Famalicão's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Famalicão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	18.9%	71.7%

Setúbal - Famalicão Predictions

Users Predictions: 106 users predict this event. Setúbal will win (votes: 10 - 9.4%). Famalicão will win (votes: 76 - 71.7%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 18.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 63.1% – 80.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Liga Portugal
08.07.20	Aves - Setúbal	1:0 ✺
04.07.20	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	2:3 ✺
30.06.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
23.06.20	Setúbal - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
18.06.20	Boavista - Setúbal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
09.07.20	Famalicão - Benfica	1:1 ✺
05.07.20	Tondela - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
30.06.20	Famalicão - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
24.06.20	Moreirense - Famalicão	1:1 ✺
19.06.20	Famalicão - Braga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
05.01.20	Famalicão - Setúbal	3:0

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