Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao (Vila Nova de Famalicao)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Famalicão		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	6	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.92	5.75
	1.65	3.92	5.75
	1.62	3.9	5	Watch
	1.68	3.96	4.9	Watch
	1.64	3.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	3.88 ↑ (3.77)	5.41 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão
57.9%

Draw
24.5%

Portimonense
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.9%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

24.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	18.7%	18.7%

Famalicão - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Junior Reis (G) 22. Nathan 15. Riccieli (C) 16. De Haas J. 74. Moura F. 28. Youssouf Z. 8. Topic M. 77. Sorriso 20. Sa G. 10. Chiquinho 29. Cadiz J.	32. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Guga 44. Pedrao (C) 43. Tornich 22. Relvas F. 8. Fukui T. 11. Carlinhos 25. Lucas Ventura 85. Cassama M. 9. Monteiro T. 77. Varela H.
Substitutes
32. Aguirregabiria M. 11. Aranda O. 9. Araujo H. 12. Assuncao G. A. 21. Danho F. 23. Dobre A. 7. Puma 19. Soares F. 1. Zlobin I. (G)	19. Carrillo R. 18. Costa G. 13. Dener 20. Estrela P. 33. Igor Formiga 28. Luan 5. Mvoue S. 14. Seck M. 12. Vinicius Silvestre (G)
Coaches
Evangelista A.	Paulo Sergio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Carlinhos 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Tornich ⚽, Carlinhos (A),
27', Cassama M. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
34', De Haas J. 🟥,
45+8', Pedrao 🟨,
45+8', Cadiz J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Soares F. 🟨,
55', Topic M. ↓, Assuncao G. A. ↑,
55', Sorriso ↓, Puma ↑,
56', Monteiro T. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Cadiz J. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Cadiz J. ⚽,
65', Fukui T. ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
65', Guga ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
66', Sa G. 🟨,
68', Sa G. ↓, Soares F. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Carlinhos (Pen),
82', Carlinhos ↓, Estrela P. ↑,
83', Costa G. ↓, Luan ↑,
88', Chiquinho ↓, Aranda O. ↑,
90+1', Igor Formiga 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Famalicão won 1.

Recent matches Famalicão is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portimonense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Famalicão is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Famalicão won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Famalicão won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
16.04.24	Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Porto - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Famalicão - Vizela	3:2 ✺
29.03.24	Gil Vicente - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Famalicão - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LTWWT
- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
14.04.24	Portimonense - Casa Pia	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Chaves - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
01.04.24	Portimonense - Braga	3:5 ✺
15.03.24	Estoril Praia - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Portimonense - Porto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
09.12.23	Portimonense - Famalicão	1:1
24.02.23	Famalicão - Portimonense	1:0
04.09.22	Portimonense - Famalicão	1:0
10.04.22	Portimonense - Famalicão	1:0
Taça de Portugal
21.12.21	Famalicão - Portimonense	1:2 penalties
Liga Portugal
27.11.21	Famalicão - Portimonense	0:3
18.04.21	Famalicão - Portimonense	0:1

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