Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 19

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)


	Setúbal		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	5.25
	1.63	3.3	5.5
	1.59	3.21	5.5
	1.66	3.24	6.24
	1.61	3.24	5.99
	1.66	3.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)	3.23 ↓ (3.49)	5.65 ↓ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
55.8%

Draw
28.1%

Lusitano GC
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

26.3%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

25.5%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 3).

Setúbal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lusitano GC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Setúbal is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Setúbal to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
04.02.24	Imortal - Setúbal	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Setúbal - Serpa	3:2 ✺
21.01.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Setúbal - Real SC	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Louletano - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
04.02.24	Lusitano GC - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Oriental - Lusitano GC	2:3 ✺
21.01.24	Lusitano GC - Juventude de Évora	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Barreirense - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Lusitano GC - Sintrense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
08.10.23	Lusitano GC - Setúbal	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.02.21	Setúbal - Lusitano GC	5:2

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