Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 20

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Belenenses		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.6	6.75
	1.42	4.15	6.2
	1.35	5.08	8.86
	1.35	4.7	7.5
	1.36	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.67)	4.63 ↑ (3.24)	7.26 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Belenenses
67.4%

Draw
19.9%

Moncarapachense
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

28%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

26.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses's performance.

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moncarapachense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belenenses that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Belenenses - Moncarapachense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Moncarapachense will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

#ad

Preview

Moncarapachense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Recent matches Belenenses is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moncarapachense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Belenenses is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
19.02.23	Caldas - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Belenenses - Fontinhas	6:0 ✺
05.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Belenenses - Leiria	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Amora - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLL
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3
19.02.23	Moncarapachense - Real SC	1:6 ✺
11.02.23	Académica Coimbra - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Moncarapachense - Alverca	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Setúbal - Moncarapachense	2:3 ✺
21.01.23	Oliveira Hospital - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
13.11.22	Moncarapachense - Belenenses	0:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.05.22	Belenenses - Moncarapachense	0:1
24.04.22	Moncarapachense - Belenenses	0:0

Belenenses - Moncarapachense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide