Match Info

SPAIN: Liga F Women - Round 19

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jesus Navas (Sevilla)

Referee: Espinosa A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	Sevilla		Valencia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.81	3.4	3.95
	1.9	3.51	3.93
	1.86	3.49	4.17	Watch
	1.78	3.42	4.12
	1.81	3.4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.57)	3.44 ↓ (3.8)	4.02 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
50.3%

Draw
26.8%

Valencia
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

23.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla's form might have worsened.

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sevilla - Valencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sullastres E. (C) 17. Garcia D. 5. Llamas E. 19. Gomes D. 7. Corrales L. 8. Gonzalez P. 6. Redondo A. 21. Gili Giner G. 9. Kanteh Cham F. 10. Cortes M. 22. Padilla N.	13. Canales A. (G) 23. Ait El Haj H. 6. Florentino C. 5. Carro M. (C) 24. Marques A. 16. Martin E. 21. Mrabet Y. K. 10. Alguacil A. 7. Marti M. 11. Ali A. 22. Browne P.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre Y. (G) 16. Arnaiz I. 35. Barrios X. 37. Florido Duran C. 30. Lopez A. 14. Martin N. 18. Moral L. 23. Morcillo R. 34. Torres J.	15. Esteve A. 12. Ezekiel M. 40. Galvez C. 4. Hagg S. 19. Real K. 3. Simon B. 2. Tamarit S.
Coaches
Losada D.	Toro C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Cortes M. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Padilla N. ⚽,
33', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ait El Haj H. ↓, Tamarit S. ↑,
46', Ali A. ↓, Esteve A. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Mrabet Y. K. ⚽,
53', Florentino C. 🟨,
54', Kanteh Cham F. ↓, Moral L. ↑,
61', Cortes M. ↓, Morcillo R. ↑,
65', Marques A. 🟨,
73', Martin E. ↓, Simon B. ↑,
79', Sullastres E. 🟨,
80', Browne P. (Pen),
84', Padilla N. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
84', Gonzalez P. ↓, Arnaiz I. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Morcillo R. ⚽, Gili Giner G. (A),
86', Alguacil A. ↓, Ezekiel M. ↑,
86', Marques A. ↓, Hagg S. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 2.

Recent matches Sevilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valencia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sevilla is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:24 (average 1.6:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC Women
Spanish Liga F Women
07.02.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Sevilla - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Espanyol - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Sevilla - Betis	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Eibar - Sevilla	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTWW
- Valencia CF Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
09.02.25	Valencia - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Valencia	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Madrid CFF - Valencia	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Valencia - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
29.09.24	Valencia - Sevilla	1:3
26.05.24	Valencia - Sevilla	3:1
14.10.23	Sevilla - Valencia	1:2
19.05.23	Sevilla - Valencia	2:0
24.09.22	Valencia - Sevilla	2:0
16.01.22	Sevilla - Valencia	3:1
03.10.21	Valencia - Sevilla	1:2

Sevilla - Valencia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide