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Current Win Probability
Sfaxien 66.2%
Draw 24%
Étoile du Sahel 9.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
30.9%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
29.9%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sfaxien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sfaxien's performance.
Étoile du Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Étoile du Sahel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sfaxien that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Étoile du Sahel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sfaxien - Étoile du Sahel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Dahmen A. (G) 21. Baccar H. 9. Ben Ali O. 13. Derbali R. 10. Maaroufi J. 24. Mathlouthi H. 15. Mondeko Zatu K. 12. Mutyaba T. 18. Ogbole E. 25. Sekkouhi F. 33. Trabelsi M.
32. Ben Hessen S. (G) 8. Abid O. 29. Ben Amor M. 26. Boutmene Z. 4. Bouzaabia M. 9. Chaabani M. 33. Dagdoug H. 37. Diawara M. 6. Gbo C. 5. Hnid N. 21. Kechrida W.
Substitutes
11. Belwafi I. 28. Chaaben R. 27. Diarra B. 1. Gaaloul M. (G) 4. Habchia Y. 19. Karoui N. 17. Mhadhebi M. S. 7. Onana W. 6. Taifour A.
20. Ben Abdallah Y. 25. Ben Choug F. 19. Bouslama M. 18. Cristo 27. Khadraoui S. 39. Landolsi M. (G) 3. Naouali G. 11. Senghor M. 17. Smichi N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Ben Ali O. ⚽,
23', Ogbole E. ↓, Mhadhebi M. S. ↑,
28', 2 - 0, Ben Ali O. ⚽,
32', 🟨,
37', 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 0, Maaloul A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
82', 3 - 1, Abid O. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 3.
Sfaxien has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Étoile du Sahel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 0.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sfaxien won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
Tunisia
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Dahmen A. (G) 
Mondeko Zatu K. 
Mutyaba T. 
Ogbole E. 
Boutmene Z. 
Diawara M. 
Gbo C. 
Diarra B. 
Onana W. 
Taifour A. 
Senghor M. 
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