Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Shaanxi Province Stadium (Xi'an)


	Shaanxi Union		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.52	3.45	2.5
	2.53	3.23	2.51
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.55	3.5	2.46	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)	3.43 ↓ (3.47)	2.45 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaanxi Union
36.4%

Draw
26.5%

Guangzhou Evergrande
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

26.7%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Shaanxi Union - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Kurban Eysajan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 1, Li Rui ⚽,
Penalties (7 - 6)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Shaanxi Union	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Shaanxi Union	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Shaanxi Union - Taian Tiankuang	4:0 ✺
16.04.24	Shandong Taishan B - Shaanxi Union	0:2 ✺
11.04.24	Shaanxi Union - Nantong Haimen Codion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWT
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Dalian Young Boy - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWTWL

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