Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 10

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Qingdao Red Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.17	3.2	3.42
	2.18	3.2	3.42
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.09	3.13	3.54	Watch
	2.09	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.83)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.4 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
43.8%

Draw
29.2%

Qingdao Red Lions
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.9%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

28.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Evergrande's form might have worsened.

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao Red Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao Red Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangzhou Evergrande - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Askhan (G) 5. Wang Shilong 18. Liao Jintao 8. Sadauskas R. 3. Liu Langzhou 15. Xu Bin 6. Hou Yu 28. Penaloza J. 23. Yang Dejiang 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Alegria J.	1. Zhu Quan (G) 16. Chen Long 5. Huang X. 15. Jia Xiaochen 23. Zhang Liang 37. Chen H. 28. Sun Xu 10. Asamoah S. 44. Wu Junhao 9. Sanogo Y. 13. Beshathan Zanhar
Substitutes
7. Kurban Eysajan 22. Li Jiahao 24. Qurban Weli 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 21. Wang Shijie 2. Wang Wenxuan 19. Wu Junjie 31. Wu Zitong (G) 17. Yang Hao 12. Yasin Islam 16. Zhang Zhixiong	22. Chen Jiaqi 21. Hai Xiaorui 18. He Youzu 17. Lian C. 27. Li Kai 40. Pi Ziyang 19. Ren Lihao 3. Sun Ningzhe 33. Sun Weijia 43. Wang G. 26. Zeng Yi (G) 6. Zheng Haokun
Coaches
Suay S.	Sun X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Beshathan Zanhar ⚽, Chen H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Zhu Quan 🟨,
59', Beshathan Zanhar 🟨,
62', Beshathan Zanhar ↓, Sun Ningzhe ↑,
62', Sun Ningzhe 🟨,
68', Sadauskas R. 🟨,
70', Hou Yu ↓, Wang Shijie ↑,
70', Yang Dejiang ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
73', Wu Junhao ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
73', Sanogo Y. ↓, Chen Jiaqi ↑,
79', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Kurban Eysajan ↑,
82', Liu Langzhou ↓, Qurban Weli ↑,
85', Chen Long 🟨,
87', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Zheng Haokun ↑,
87', Chen H. ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
90+2', Asamoah S. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Wang Shijie ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Qingdao Red Lions is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guangzhou Evergrande will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
04.05.24	Dalian Young Boy - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Ningbo Professional	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWLW
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
04.05.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Yunnan Yukun	2:3 ✺
27.04.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Ningbo Professional - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Wuxi Wugou - Qingdao Red Lions	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTLW

Guangzhou Evergrande - Qingdao Red Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide