Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Kakamega Homeboyz		Mathare United

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	1.95	3.16	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.95)	3.13 ↓ (3.16)	3.77 ↓ (3.78)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
47%

Draw
28.9%

Mathare United
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 3.

Homeboyz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mathare United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Homeboyz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Homeboyz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Homeboyz won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kakamega Homeboyz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
28.03.26	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bandari	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Ulinzi Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLWT
- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
22.03.26	Muranga Seal - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Mathare United - AFC Leopards	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Gor Mahia - Mathare United	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Mathare United - Shabana	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
15.11.25	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0
15.09.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mathare United	0:0
04.06.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mathare United	1:0
28.01.23	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:5
12.02.22	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:3
08.12.21	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mathare United	2:2
10.07.21	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mathare United	4:2

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