Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	14:45	ESPN 2
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	14:45	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	Ring, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	ESPN Premium
China	01:45	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	12:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	18:45	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Universal
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	23:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254
Kazakhstan	23:45	Qazsport
Kosovo	18:45	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	11:45	Caliente TV
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 2
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, Virgin Media More
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Inter
Vietnam	00:45	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	17:45	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Young Boys

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	4
	1.88	3.7	3.9
	1.92	3.85	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.8	4.13
	1.97	3.72	3.96	Watch
	1.91	3.7	4
	1.94	3.78	4.14
	1.9	3.8	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.12)	3.76 ↑ (3.68)	4.02 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
50.4%

Draw
25.6%

Young Boys
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shakhtar Donetsk's performance.

Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shakhtar Donetsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Young Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	16.7%	4.5%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Young Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (51 of 64 users predict this - 79.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.83% – 89.55%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 26. Konoplya Y. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 13. Pedrinho 21. Bondarenko A. 8. Kryskiv D. 10. Sudakov G. 11. Zubkov O. 7. Eguinaldo 37. Kevin	33. Keller M. (G) 24. Athekame Z. 30. Lauper S. 23. Benito L. (C) 27. Blum L. 39. Males D. 7. Ugrinic F. 20. Niasse C. 11. Colley E. 10. Imeri K. 35. Ganvoula S.
Substitutes
16. Azarovi I. 72. Fesyun K. (G) 4. Franjic B. 18. Ghram A. 30. Marlon Gomes 29. Nazaryna Y. 39. Newerton 38. Pedrinho 14. Sikan D. 6. Stepanenko T. 17. Tobias V. 2. Traore L.	60. Dema J. 15. Elia M. 9. Itten C. 42. Jetzer L. 8. Lakomy L. 40. Marzino D. (G) 77. Monteiro J. 66. Smith R. 21. Virginius A. 26. von Ballmoos D. (G)
Coaches
Pusic M.	Magnin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Imeri K. ⚽, Niasse C. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Zubkov O. ⚽, Sudakov G. (A),
33', Benito L. ↓, Lakomy L. ↑,
40', Blum L. 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Sudakov G. ⚽, Eguinaldo (A),
45+3', Athekame Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Imeri K. ↓, Monteiro J. ↑,
62', Colley E. ↓, Virginius A. ↑,
62', Males D. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
62', Lauper S. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
68', Eguinaldo ↓, Sikan D. ↑,
70', Niasse C. 🟨,
79', Kevin ↓, Marlon Gomes ↑,
81', Konoplya Y. 🟨,
90+2', Bondarenko A. ↓, Franjic B. ↑,
90+2', Kryskiv D. ↓, Stepanenko T. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Veltins Arena.

Shakhtar is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Young Boys is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Young Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shakhtar will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Shakhtar: Puzankov T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Young Boys: Camara M. (Muscle Injury) Chaiwa M. (Ankle Injury) Conte F. (Knee Injury) Hadjam J. (Muscle Injury) Janko S. (Muscle Injury) Pfeiffer P. (Knee Injury) Zoukrou B. (Hip Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shakhtar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhtar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
02.11.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
27.10.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Arsenal - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.10.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTLW
- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
02.11.24	Zürich - Young Boys	0:0 ✺
30.10.24	Young Boys - Basel	3:2 ✺
27.10.24	Lugano - Young Boys	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Young Boys - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
19.10.24	Young Boys - Luzern	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.08.16	Young Boys - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:0 penalties
26.07.16	Shakhtar Donetsk - Young Boys	2:0
Club Friendly
04.07.12	Young Boys - Shakhtar Donetsk	N/A

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