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Current Win Probability
Shakhter Karagandy 15.9%
Draw 23.8%
Yelimay Semey 60.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
26.4%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
25.9%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shakhter Karagandy's form might have worsened.
Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yelimay Semey's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhter Karagandy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yelimay Semey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shakhter Karagandy - Yelimay Semey Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Tsuprikov E. (G) 4. Ryzhuk D. 5. Stamenkovic F. 33. Adams L. 7. Drachenko M. 21. Ilic J. 88. Canas R. 60. Campo F. 10. Ashortia I. 97. Djokic M. 16. Kybyray Y.
35. Koval M. (G) 19. Gabyshev M. 3. Odeoyibo S. 88. Yashin D. 4. Penchikov D. 12. Darabayev A. 23. Maicom D. 81. Korzun N. 20. China 9. Mashukov I. 24. Reyes E.
Substitutes
11. Abdulla A. 18. Altynkhan A. 20. Bachek D. 19. Kozlov E. 17. Lisakovich D. 68. Migunov A. 8. Nazymkhanov A. 6. Nikolic M. 1. Shabanov A. (G) 9. Tattybaev A. 23. Tutkyshev R. 44. Tyulyubay A.
92. Cornette Q. 78. Kavlinov D. (G) 5. Keiler S. 7. Murtazaev R. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 8. Pertsukh Y. 63. Saravanja I. 15. Schmidt D. 77. Shomko D. 11. Sviridov I.
Coaches
Emeljanov K.
Karpovich A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Korzun N. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Korzun N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Drachenko M. ↓, Lisakovich D. ↑,
46', Kybyray Y. ↓, Abdulla A. ↑,
69', Darabayev A. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
69', Mashukov I. ↓, Sviridov I. ↑,
71', Ashortia I. ↓, Kozlov E. ↑,
71', Djokic M. ↓, Tattybaev A. ↑,
72', China ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
81', Reyes E. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
81', Gabyshev M. ↓, Shomko D. ↑,
90+2', Odeoyibo S. 🟨,
90+2', Canas R. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Kozlov E. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Shakhter Karagandy has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Yelimay Semey in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Yelimay Semey could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Yelimay Semey have a series of home games.
In this match Yelimay Semey is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Kazakhstan
World
Watch
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Tsuprikov E. (G) 
Ryzhuk D. 
Stamenkovic F. 
Adams L. 
Ilic J. 
Canas R. 
Ashortia I. 
Odeoyibo S. 
Maicom D. 
Korzun N. 
Reyes E. 
Cornette Q. 
Saravanja I. 
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