Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)


	Yelimay Semey		Tobol Kostanay

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.55	3.4	Watch
	2	3.72	3.38
	1.77	4.01	3.67	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.3
	1.97	3.72	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.3)	3.68 ↑ (3.31)	3.43 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
47.9%

Draw
25.1%

Tobol Kostanay
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yelimay Semey's performance.

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Yelimay will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tobol will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Stojkovic V. (G) 3. Higor Gabriel 4. Zhumakhanov A. 5. Belancic M. 20. Ashirbek A. 23. Ilic H. 44. Tyulyubay A. 18. Orazov R. 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 77. Placca F. 11. Sviridov I.	44. Ustimenko D. (G) 15. Vukcevic M. 22. Marochkin A. 4. Cavnic N. 5. Ndiaye P. 8. Tagybergen A. 6. Myakish M. 30. Guerra L. 19. Zhumat D. 21. Zhagorov N. 18. Milovanovic U.
Substitutes
2. Adambaev A. 83. Baygaliev A. 88. Baygaliev A. 27. Berezkin E. 7. Murtazaev R. 16. Ndreca E. 14. Palacio D. 10. Payruz Z. 22. Pivkin N. (G) 1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 19. Zhaksylykov A.	3. Asrankulov R. 1. Busurmanov S. (G) 13. Cisse A. 26. Glushchenkov K. 99. Hebaj R. 88. Kalmyrza M. 11. Marat D. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 33. Pivovarov I. 29. Usenov D. 7. Zhumashev Z. 17. Zuev A.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Zhumaskaliyev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Guerra L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cavnic N. ↓, Zhumashev Z. ↑,
58', Zhumat D. ↓, Marat D. ↑,
58', Guerra L. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
64', Sviridov I. ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
65', Ilic H. ↓, Berezkin E. ↑,
72', Ashirbek A. 🟨,
74', Tagybergen A. 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Murtazaev R. ⚽,
77', Bakhtiyarov A. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
84', Zhagorov N. 🟨,
85', Orazov R. ↓, Payruz Z. ↑,
87', Myakish M. ↓, Hebaj R. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Yelimay have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yelimay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Yelimay has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38
7	Tobol	26	10	4	12	33:35	-2	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
21.03.26	Aktobe - Yelimay Semey	1:4 ✺
16.03.26	Yelimay Semey - Altai Semey	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Okzhetpes - Yelimay Semey	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Yelimay Semey	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Yelimay Semey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTTLL
- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League
20.03.26	Astana - Tobol Kostanay	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Tobol Kostanay - Zhetysu	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Aktobe - Tobol Kostanay	4:1 ✺
Kazakh Super Cup
28.02.26	Kairat - Tobol Kostanay	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Napredak Kruševac - Tobol Kostanay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
05.07.25	Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay	2:3
30.03.25	Tobol Kostanay - Yelimay Semey	1:1
15.09.24	Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay	2:1
06.03.24	Tobol Kostanay - Yelimay Semey	4:2

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