Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Semey)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Yelimay Semey		Turan Turkistan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.14	5.75	29
				Watch
	1.35	4.35	7
				Watch
	1.4	4	7.5
	1.35	4.77	8.7	Watch
	1.25	5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.42)	4.77 ↑ (4.3)	13.44 ↑ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
73.1%

Draw
19.9%

Turan Turkistan
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.8%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

15.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yelimay Semey's performance.

Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-25.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yelimay Semey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Turan Turkistan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Yelimay Semey - Turan Turkistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yelimay will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Turan will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Turan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Yelimay (1.89) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Yelimay (votes: 1 - 25%). Turan (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Koval M. (G) 2. Adambaev A. 15. Calasan N. 81. Korzun N. 10. Muzhikov S. 3. Odeoyibo S. 77. Placca F. 21. Rolon K. 11. Sviridov I. 8. Tugarev R. 44. Tyulyubay A.	78. Zakirov T. (G) 2. Abdumazhidov O. 89. Dorofeev K. 77. Mukhtarov K. 17. Nurymbet A. 44. Pajovic J. 5. Satyshev A. 71. Sovpel V. 7. Umarov S. 15. Zgurskiy L. 9. Zhumabek A.
Substitutes
6. Abdulla E. 69. Baigaliev A. 23. Maicom D. 7. Murtazaev R. 34. Nazymkhanov A. 72. Nuradilov N. 17. Payruz Z. 22. Pivkin N. (G) 90. Sansyzbaev S. 25. Tkachenko Y. 40. Tsuprikov E. (G)	24. Duysenbekuly K. 28. Khadzhiev A. 20. Milojko G. 27. Mukhammetzhanuly M. (G) 19. Sarsenbay E. 68. Serikuly D. 11. Toybekov E.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Zhukovskiy V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Satyshev A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Placca F. ⚽, Calasan N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tugarev R. ↓, Payruz Z. ↑,
46', Korzun N. ↓, Nazymkhanov A. ↑,
49', Nurymbet A. 🟨,
61', Abdumazhidov O. ↓, Khadzhiev A. ↑,
62', Zhumabek A. 🟨,
66', Zhumabek A. ↓, Milojko G. ↑,
66', Sovpel V. ↓, Sarsenbay E. ↑,
70', Zgurskiy L. ↓, Toybekov E. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Sarsenbay E. ⚽,
86', Muzhikov S. ↓, Nuradilov N. ↑,
87', Tyulyubay A. ↓, Maicom D. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Payruz Z. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yelimay Semey won 4.

Yelimay Semey has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Turan is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Yelimay Semey is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yelimay Semey won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay Semey won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
15.06.25	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Yelimay Semey - Astana	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Yelimay Semey - Kairat	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
14.05.25	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLTWL
- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh Premier League
14.06.25	Turan Turkistan - Zhenis	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Ulytau - Turan Turkistan	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Turan Turkistan - Tobol Kostanay	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Kaisar - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
14.05.25	Turan Turkistan - Tobol Kostanay	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
17.08.24	Yelimay Semey - Turan Turkistan	6:0
23.06.24	Turan Turkistan - Yelimay Semey	2:2
Kazakh League Cup
25.05.24	Yelimay Semey - Turan Turkistan	3:0
Kazakh First League
11.08.23	Yelimay Semey - Turan Turkistan	1:0
05.05.23	Turan Turkistan - Yelimay Semey	1:2
Kazakh Cup
31.03.23	Turan Turkistan - Yelimay Semey	2:1

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