Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Semey)

Referee: Sulikanov S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Yelimay Semey		Kyzylzhar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.60	4.80
	1.67	3.35	4.10	Watch
	1.68	3.94	4.6
	1.59	3.75	5.23	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.05
	1.62	3.80	5.48	Watch
	1.66	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)	3.72 ↓ (3.73)	4.67 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
55.9%

Draw
24.6%

Kyzylzhar
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar Predictions

Users Predictions: Yelimay Semey will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 3. Higor Gabriel 44. Tyulyubay A. 5. Belancic M. 20. Ashirbek A. 23. Ilic H. 27. Berezkin E. 18. Orazov R. (C) 14. Palacio D. 77. Placca F. 11. Sviridov I.	1. Celeadnic D. (G) 71. Sokolenko A. 23. Piscevic N. 5. Slambekov D. 9. Adil A. 10. Bjartalid J. 88. Pertsukh Y. 8. Makarenko E. (C) 28. Chirkov R. 99. Beugre E. 13. Bahoken S.
Substitutes
2. Adambaev A. 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 88. Baygaliev A. 50. Miladinovic I. 7. Murtazaev R. 22. Pivkin N. (G) 19. Zhaksylykov A. 67. Zhilin A. 4. Zhumakhanov A.	11. Cheredinov A. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 47. Gomis H. 27. Gubarev N. 21. Kurbanov T. 7. Muldinov T. 32. Petrov V. (G) 14. Serikbay A. 79. Valgushev G.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Curcic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Bahoken S. 🟨,
20', Sokolenko A. 🟨,
30', Bahoken S. ↓, Muldinov T. ↑,
36', Adil A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sviridov I. ↓, Zhaksylykov A. ↑,
61', Beugre E. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Orazov R. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Palacio D. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
75', Adil A. ↓, Gomis H. ↑,
75', Chirkov R. ↓, Serikbay A. ↑,
75', Ashirbek A. ↓, Adambaev A. ↑,
75', Zhaksylykov A. ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Placca F. ⚽,
83', Bjartalid J. ↓, Kurbanov T. ↑,
83', Sokolenko A. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
88', Orazov R. ↓, Baygaliev A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 2.

Yelimay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kyzylzhar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Yelimay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Yelimay is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
21.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy	1:3 ✺
28.05.26	Kaisar - Yelimay Semey	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWT
- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
21.06.26	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	2:4 ✺
17.06.26	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhetysu	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	Aktobe - Kyzylzhar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
23.08.25	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:0
25.05.25	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	1:1
Kazakh Cup
14.05.25	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	1:0 penalties
Kazakh Premier League
24.08.24	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:1
02.06.24	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	1:1
Kazakh Cup
08.05.24	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	1:0

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