Match Info

BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga - Round 30

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stroitel Stadion (Soligorsk)

Referee: Poltarzhitsky V. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	YASNAe


	Shakhtyor Soligorsk		Dnyapro Mogilev

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.33	3.46	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.33)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	2.93 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtyor Soligorsk
40.8%

Draw
27.4%

Dnyapro Mogilev
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Shakhtyor Soligorsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Dnyapro Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtyor Soligorsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Dnyapro Mogilev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Chernik S. (G) 13. Burko M. 90. Kukushkin G. 80. Yankovski K. (C) 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 99. Zenkov I. 77. Sotnikov N. 87. Martinkevich V. 49. Denisyuk A. 88. Kovalevich D. 23. Kovalevich M.	54. Generalov E. (C) 16. Aliseyko D. 23. Dunaev A. 88. Yurkevich F. 66. Lukashov A. 37. Margiev R. 77. Guilherme Brito 55. Krasnov N. 20. Bordukov P. 5. Dongo C. 69. Kapov K.
Substitutes
91. Bulanov M. 55. Dubovskiy P. 71. Grivenev E. 17. Kabyshev V. 14. Lukashevich I. 2. Makarenko A. 35. Malashchitsky I. (G) 98. Shaula N. 22. Shulyak D. 30. Yarmolich A.	10. Aleksandrovich A. 22. Boltrushevich I. 30. Filipenko T. (G) 33. Gurbanov M. 44. Sadovskiy D. (G) 11. Sobolev N. 8. Vigovsky D.
Coaches
Podpaliy S.	Radushko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Aliseyko D. 🟨,
38', Sotnikov N. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Dunaev A. ⚽, Krasnov N. (A),
45+2', Yurkevich F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Aliseyko D. ↓, Sobolev N. ↑,
56', Bordukov P. 🟨,
56', Gruzhevskiy D. 🟨,
58', Martinkevich V. ↓, Makarenko A. ↑,
71', Dunaev A. 🟨,
71', Sotnikov N. ↓, Lukashevich I. ↑,
72', Denisyuk A. ↓, Grivenev E. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Kapov K. (Pen),
81', Grivenev E. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Kabyshev V. ⚽, Kovalevich D. (A),
89', Krasnov N. ↓, Aleksandrovich A. ↑,
90+3', Burko M. 🟥,
90+5', Guilherme Brito 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

Shakhtyor Soligorsk is Relegated to Pershaya Liga

Dnyapro is Relegated to Pershaya Liga

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 4.

Shakhtyor Soligorsk has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dnyapro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dnyapro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:13 (average 2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:4 (average 2.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.11.24	Torpedo-BelAZ - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Gomel	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Naftan - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Minsk	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Smorgon - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Dnyapro Mogilev
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.11.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Isloch Minsk	1:3 ✺
08.11.24	Vitebsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Dinamo Brest	0:3 ✺
26.10.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
07.07.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:3
15.08.22	Dnyapro Mogilev - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:7
03.04.22	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	4:0
20.10.19	Dnyapro Mogilev - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:0
31.05.19	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:1
26.08.18	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:1
23.04.18	Dnyapro Mogilev - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:1

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