The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 21.6%
Draw 25.6%
Gomel 52.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
27.4%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
27.3%
46.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtyor Soligorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gomel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtyor Soligorsk than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gomel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Gomel Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Shakhtyor Soligorsk will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gomel will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Chernik S. (G) 13. Burko M. 2. Makarenko A. 80. Yankovski K. (C) 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 99. Zenkov I. 49. Denisyuk A. 17. Kabyshev V. 14. Lukashevich I. 88. Kovalevich D. 23. Kovalevich M.
1. Nechaev A. (G) 33. Chagovets Y. 16. Zayats I. 72. Rashchenya I. 3. Matveychik S. (C) 20. Aliu L. 99. Abdullahi F. 14. Davyskiba R. 17. Yatskevich V. 21. Antilevskiy A. 11. Effaghe R.
Substitutes
91. Bulanov M. 55. Dubovskiy P. 71. Grivenev E. 10. Kabyshev A. 90. Kukushkin G. 35. Malashchitsky I. (G) 4. Shestilovskiy S. 22. Shulyak D. 30. Yarmolich A.
7. Fernando 9. Grishchenko I. 44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 91. Nekrasov N. 10. Potapenko A. 2. Rylach A. 30. Troyakov E.
Coaches
Podpaliy S.
Gorovtsov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Lukashevich I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Antilevskiy A. ⚽, Abdullahi F. (A),
51', 0 - 2, Effaghe R. ⚽, Antilevskiy A. (A),
55', Makarenko A. ↓, Shulyak D. ↑,
63', Abdullahi F. ↓, Rylach A. ↑,
65', Rashchenya I. 🟨,
67', Antilevskiy A. 🟨,
74', Matveychik S. ↓, Fernando ↑,
78', Kabyshev V. ↓, Grivenev E. ↑,
78', Kovalevich D. ↓, Bulanov M. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Yankovski K. ⚽, Gruzhevskiy D. (A),
83', Nechaev A. 🟨,
87', Effaghe R. ↓, Potapenko A. ↑,
87', Aliu L. ↓, Troyakov E. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 6).
Shakhtyor Soligorsk is Relegated to Pershaya Liga
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 3.
Shakhtyor Soligorsk is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gomel is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Gomel is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 14 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 37:15 (average 1.9:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.7:0.8).
Belarus
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Chernik S. (G) 
Chagovets Y. 
Aliu L. 
Effaghe R. 
Fernando 
Grishchenko I. 
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