Match Info

BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga - Round 25

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)

Referee: Gorayutin S. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	YASNAe


	Smorgon		Shakhtyor Soligorsk

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.18	3.52	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.54)	3.39 ↓ (3.46)	3.12 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
43.5%

Draw
27.1%

Shakhtyor Soligorsk
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.3%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smorgon's performance.

Shakhtyor Soligorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtyor Soligorsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smorgon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtyor Soligorsk than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtyor Soligorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Smorgon - Shakhtyor Soligorsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Smorgon will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Shakhtyor Soligorsk will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Azarko M. (G) 44. Lutsevich T. 4. Shalashnikov A. 3. Intsoen C. 5. Toure A. 30. Likhtin V. (C) 25. Levkovets A. 10. Leonovich K. 89. Camara Y. 19. Guibero R. 17. Dukso M.	32. Chernik S. (G) 87. Martinkevich V. 4. Shestilovskiy S. 13. Burko M. 2. Makarenko A. 99. Zenkov I. (C) 19. Sviridenko I. 17. Kabyshev V. 49. Denisyuk A. 88. Kovalevich D. 23. Kovalevich M.
Substitutes
72. Askarov M. 2. Bamba M. L. 11. Dalidovich V. 9. Glotko A. 23. Gorbach P. 7. Kopytich A. 1. Novichkov I. (G) 6. Seleznev P. 71. Stankevich A. 78. Tishko A.	91. Bulanov M. 71. Grivenev E. 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 10. Kabyshev A. 14. Lukashevich I. 35. Malashchitsky I. (G) 98. Shaula N. 80. Yankovski K.
Coaches
Slesarchuk I.	Podpaliy S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Guibero R. ⚽, Azarko M. (A),
45+1', Burko M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Denisyuk A. ↓, Grivenev E. ↑,
46', Shestilovskiy S. ↓, Yankovski K. ↑,
55', Grivenev E. 🟨,
63', Makarenko A. ↓, Gruzhevskiy D. ↑,
67', Dukso M. ↓, Gorbach P. ↑,
76', Leonovich K. ↓, Seleznev P. ↑,
80', Kabyshev V. ↓, Bulanov M. ↑,
82', Guibero R. ↓, Stankevich A. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Levkovets A. (Pen),
90+3', Levkovets A. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

Smorgon has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shakhtyor Soligorsk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Smorgon will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Smorgon won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:12 (average 1:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Smorgon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.10.24	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	3:2 ✺
28.09.24	Smorgon - Vitebsk	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:4 ✺
30.08.24	Gomel - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.10.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Dinamo Minsk	0:3 ✺
27.09.24	BATE Borisov - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Neman Grodno	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Slutsk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.05.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Smorgon	2:2
06.10.23	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Smorgon	2:0
21.05.23	Smorgon - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:3
15.08.21	Smorgon - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:2
11.04.21	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Smorgon	3:0

Smorgon - Shakhtyor Soligorsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide