Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Shamakhi City Stadium (Shamakhi)

Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Shamakhi		Şəfa

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.40	4.60
	1.75	3.35	3.95
	1.78	3.4	4.59
	1.79	3.55	4.05	Watch
	1.74	3.3	4.2
	1.73	3.3	4.42
	1.78	3.45	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.8)	3.39 ↓ (3.54)	4.26 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shamakhi
51.9%

Draw
26.7%

Şəfa
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24.8%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Şəfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shamakhi - Şəfa Predictions

Users Predictions: Shamakhi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo Fernandes (C) 10. Adilkhanov E. 13. Apolinario R. 11. Bouali A. 3. Jota 97. Mammadov O. 25. Marques F. 52. Moumini A. 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 5. Rustamov E. 19. Shuaibu A.	12. Mustabazada A. (G) 5. Agcabayov A. 42. Cafarov E. 18. Dansoko B. 11. Dragu A. 17. Guel M. 55. Huseynli R. 34. Mamengi C. 10. Mertens D. 28. Musayev M. (C) 6. Yusifli F.
Substitutes
9. Akhvlediani T. 66. Bagyrzada C. 14. Cahangirov U. 8. Dego D. 80. Ismayilov H. 17. Muradly S. 96. Qarazoglu N. (G) 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 88. Shiraliyev H. 7. Suleymanov E. 77. Tahmazli O. 2. Xeyrullayev F.	23. Aliyev N. 22. Diaw O. 99. Huseynov M. (G) 4. Jarjue M. 9. Luis Felipe 77. Mammadov E. 8. Pop V. 29. Qanbarov V. 83. Quliyev N. 3. Quliyev T. 97. Tiago Silva (G) 21. Zulfugarli I.
Coaches
Bagirov A.	Hashimov Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Cafarov E. ⚽,
27', Yusifli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', Mamengi C. 🟨,
52', Musayev M. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Huseynli R. (Penalty Awarded),
65', 1 - 2, Jota ⚽,
65', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
65', Mammadov O. ↓, Dego D. ↑,
65', Shuaibu A. ↓, Akhvlediani T. ↑,
67', Cafarov E. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
67', Huseynli R. ↓, Quliyev N. ↑,
77', Yusifli F. ↓, Pop V. ↑,
77', Guel M. ↓, Qanbarov V. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Ismayilov H. ⚽,
82', Bouali A. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Apolinario R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', Dragu A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th and 11th in the Premier League (Relegation)).

Shamakhi is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Şəfa has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Recently, Shamakhi has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Shamakhi is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Shamakhi	8	3	4	1	12:9	3	13
11	Safa Baku	8	1	0	7	4:15	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
10.10.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Kapaz - Shamakhi	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Gabala - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWTWT
- Şəfa FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.10.26	Şəfa - Turan Tovuz	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Şəfa	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Şəfa - Sabah	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Neftchi Baku - Şəfa	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Şəfa - İmişli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Shamakhi - Şəfa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide