The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shandong Taishan B 60.7%
Draw 26%
Changchun Xidu 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67%
23.1%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.5%
21.3%
9.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shandong Taishan B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shandong Taishan B's form might have worsened.
Changchun Xidu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan B than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shandong Taishan B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Shandong Taishan B - Changchun Xidu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Fu Zhenhao (G) 23. Wang Tianyou 44. Qi Qiancheng (C) 16. Yan Hengye 55. He Bingzhuang 29. Ma Yinhao 43. Wang Y. 60. Hao Fubo 14. Guo Xin 49. Deng Chunze 18. Li X.
17. Hu H. (G) 7. Wang Xin (C) 13. Wang Tianci 58. Kadir Aysan 15. Geng Xianglong 2. Wang Song 45. Yang Jingfan 44. Chen Quanjiang 6. Liu Yang 14. He Youzu 49. Feng Zijun
Substitutes
27. Bao Kaiwen 2. Deng Zhiwen 8. He K. 13. Ilham I. (G) 5. Li Junpeng 7. Li Yuanjie 40. Mei Shuaijun 21. Niu Bowei (G) 9. Sun Ziyue 48. Yang Yang 22. Zhang Xuyao 46. Zihan Chen
10. Huang Wenzhuo 39. Liang Huan 24. Liu Jiahao 29. Memet Nuryasin 38. Rechemat Quwatbek (G) 11. Sun Fei 21. Wang H. 5. Yang Lei 3. Yangyang Ma 23. Ye-Yang Runyi 18. Zhong Weihong 59. Zhou Yan
Coaches
Zhang Haitao
Li Bin
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yang Jingfan ↓, Zhong Weihong ↑,
46', Geng Xianglong ↓, Wang H. ↑,
46', Guo Xin ↓, Mei Shuaijun ↑,
46', Wang Tianyou ↓, Li Junpeng ↑,
62', Liu Yang ↓, Huang Wenzhuo ↑,
66', Feng Zijun ↓, Memet Nuryasin ↑,
66', He Youzu ↓, Liang Huan ↑,
69', Hao Fubo ↓, Zihan Chen ↑,
72', Li X. ↓, He K. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Liang Huan ⚽, Wang Xin (A),
81', Wang Xin 🟨,
85', Deng Chunze ↓, Zhang Xuyao ↑,
88', 1 - 1, He K. ⚽, Wang Y. (A),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Shandong Taishan B has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Changchun Xidu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Shandong Taishan B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Shandong Taishan B is the clear favorite.
We predict that Shandong Taishan B will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shandong Taishan B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Shandong Taishan B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.