Match Info

Date: 4 December 2020, Friday


	Shanghai Port		Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.65	Watch
	4.25	4.1	1.67
	4.2	3.65	1.71	Watch
	4.6	3.65	1.67
	5.11	3.89	1.71
	4.8	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.7	3.84	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (2.65)	3.85 ↑ (3.53)	1.69 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Port
20.3%

Draw
24.3%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

18.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Port's form might have worsened.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+29%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors than the current prediction. (-27.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18%	14%	68%

Shanghai Port - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Shanghai Port will win (votes: 9 - 18%). Jeonbuk Motors will win (votes: 34 - 68%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jeonbuk Motors: 55.1% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Jeonbuk Motors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jeonbuk Motors will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shanghai East Asia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Shanghai East Asia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Port FC
AFC Champions League
01.12.20	Shanghai Port - Sydney	0:4 ✺
28.11.20	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
26.11.20	Shanghai Port - Changchun Yatai	0:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.20	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
22.11.20	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLW
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
AFC Champions League
01.12.20	Yokohama F. Marinos - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	4:1 ✺
25.11.20	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Sydney	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
08.11.20	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
04.11.20	Ulsan HD - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
22.11.20	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Shanghai Port	1:2
26.06.19	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Shanghai Port	1:2 penalties
19.06.19	Shanghai Port - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1
13.09.16	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Shanghai Port	5:0
23.08.16	Shanghai Port - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0

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