Match Info

Super League - Round 27

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:35	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Shanghai Shenhua		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
	1.45	5.25	5.25	Watch
	1.47	5.25	4.60
	1.54	4.75	4.75	Watch
	1.51	5.49	5.13
	1.58	4.84	4.5	Watch
	1.49	5.40	4.95
	1.46	5.19	5.19	Watch
	1.46	5.20	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)	5.17 ↑ (4.74)	4.92 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
62.8%

Draw
18.1%

Yunnan Yukun
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.9%

19.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

21.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Shanghai Shenhua - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 3. Jin Shunkai 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 19. Asue L. 33. Wang Haijian 15. Wu Xi (C) 30. Xie Pengfei 10. Teixeira J. 9. Rafael Ratao	23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 25. Deng Hanwen 33. Burca A. 2. Hu Ruibao 3. Tsui Wang-Kit 22. Duan Liuyu 8. Xu Xin 34. Caio Vinicius 10. Ionita II A. (C) 9. Cleber 11. Taty Maritu O.
Substitutes
17. Gao Tianyi 45. Han Jiawen 18. Liu Chengyu 24. Ma Zhen (G) 40. Wang J. (G) 2. Wang Shilong 38. Wu Qipeng 21. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu 26. Yang Shuai 16. Yang Zexiang 25. Zhu Yue	39. Abdusalam Bunyamin 1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 19. Huang Zichang 30. Saeter J. 5. Shi Ke 14. Wang Xinghao (G) 21. Yang Zihao 7. Ye Chugui 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 6. Zhao Yuhao
Coaches
Milojevic V.	Vinyals J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Teixeira J. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Cleber ⚽, Taty Maritu O. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Xie Pengfei ⚽, Teixeira J. (A),
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Duan Liuyu ↓, Abdusalam Bunyamin ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Jin Shunkai ⚽, Teixeira J. (A),
57', 4 - 1, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
61', Tsui Wang-Kit 🟨,
62', 5 - 1, Wang Haijian ⚽,
66', Deng Hanwen ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
67', Teixeira J. ↓, Gao Tianyi ↑,
67', Xie Pengfei ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
75', 6 - 1, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Asue L. (A),
76', Ionita II A. ↓, Saeter J. ↑,
76', Xu Xin ↓, Ye Chugui ↑,
77', Taty Maritu O. ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
79', Rafael Ratao ↓, Han Jiawen ↑,
79', Asue L. ↓, Liu Chengyu ↑,
81', 7 - 1, Liu Chengyu ⚽, Xu Haoyang (A),
83', Wu Xi ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 4th).

Shanghai Shenhua has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Yunnan Yukun is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Shanghai Shenhua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Shanghai Shenhua is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Shanghai Shenhua: Chan Shinichi (Ankle Injury) Jiang Shenglong (Illness) Ke L. (Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Shanghai Shenhua has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 2.3:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shanghai Shenhua against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yunnan Yukun	29	11	7	11	57:60	-3	40
8	Shanghai Shenhua	29	14	5	10	63:50	13	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Club Friendly
27.09.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Zenit	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Tampines Rovers	2:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
06.09.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
01.09.26	Dalian Young Boy - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
28.08.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Taishan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWLL
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
06.09.26	Yunnan Yukun - Liaoning Tieren	5:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
02.09.26	Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
29.08.26	Zhejiang Professional - Yunnan Yukun	6:0 ✺
22.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Yunnan Yukun - Dalian Young Boy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
16.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0
02.08.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua	4:4
02.04.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Yunnan Yukun	3:1
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.23	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2

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