Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 12

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Shaanxi Province Stadium (Xi'an)


	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai		Dalian Kun City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.25	4.8	1.27
				Watch
	8	4.75	1.29
	10.1	5.05	1.25
	9.2	4.9	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.14 ↑ (8.35)	4.88 ↑ (4.75)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
9.9%

Draw
18.6%

Dalian Kun City
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

19.1%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

16.8%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalian Kun City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Dalian Kun City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Jia Xinyao (G) 23. Liu Xiangchen 12. Liu Chunlong 19. Wu Peng (C) 6. Zhang Wei 18. Yang Peng 37. Su Shun 22. Li Jinqing 10. Lu Yao 49. Lin Min 39. Gong Zheng	16. Wang Zhuo (C) 17. Yang Fan 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 2. Geng Xiaoshun 6. Ge Hailun 8. Han Xu 23. Yin Lu 30. Yu Zeyuan 10. Zhu Shiyu 49. Yan Shoukuan 9. Zhou Bingxu
Substitutes
7. Du Changjie 11. Fu Jie 15. Huang Zhiyuan 56. Liu Haoyu (G) 55. Liu R. 29. Sun Y. 16. Wang J. 24. Wang Jun 47. Wang Nianjiangcheng (G) 1. Yang Ming (G) 50. Yang Z. (G) 32. Zhang L.	47. Ablimit F. 55. Ali M. 26. Cai Haochen (G) 25. Cong Zhen 11. Ge Yuxiang 4. Liu J. 40. Liu Zhizhi 14. Li Xudong 24. Ouyang Bang 45. Ren Jian 57. Sodorhu 19. Xu Xin
Coaches
Wu Yan	Zhao Faqing

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Lu Yao 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Zhou Bingxu ⚽, Ge Hailun (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Geng Xiaoshun ↓, Liu J. ↑,
46', Lu Yao ↓, Fu Jie ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Liu J. ⚽, Zhai Zhaoyu (A),
64', Yan Shoukuan ↓, Ali M. ↑,
64', Zhou Bingxu ↓, Ouyang Bang ↑,
70', Yang Peng ↓, Sun Y. ↑,
70', Lin Min ↓, Liu R. ↑,
82', Su Shun ↓, Huang Zhiyuan ↑,
85', Zhu Shiyu ↓, Cong Zhen ↑,
87', Han Xu 🟨,
90', Han Xu ↓, Xu Xin ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Dalian Kun City have a series of home games.

In this match Dalian Kun City is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Chinese Yi League
09.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Taian Tiankuang - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Shandong Taishan B - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.1 LTTLL
- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Yi League
09.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Shandong Taishan B	0:2 ✺
01.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Shaanxi Union - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.24	Dalian Kun City - Yunnan Yukun	0:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Dalian Kun City - Taian Tiankuang	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT

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