Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Kun City		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	17.5	8.25	1.1
	15.09	7.62	1.09
	15.09	7.62	1.1
	23	8.5	1.05
	22	8.9	1.09	Watch
	4.6	3.55	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.21 ↑ (4.43)	7.41 ↑ (3.5)	1.18 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
5.9%

Draw
12.9%

Yunnan Yukun
81.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.9%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

25.5%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalian Kun City's form might have worsened.

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yunnan Yukun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalian Kun City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-26.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yunnan Yukun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dalian Kun City - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 0 - 1, Liu Yuhao ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, Liu Yuhao ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Dalian Kun City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yunnan Yukun is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Dalian Kun City have a series of home games.

In this match Yunnan Yukun is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Dalian Kun City - Taian Tiankuang	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Dalian Kun City	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Dalian Kun City - Hubei Istar	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.24	Dalian Kun City - Quanzhou Yassin	3:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
15.04.24	Dalian Kun City - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTWWL
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Yunnan Yukun - Yanbian Longding	5:1 ✺
04.05.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Yunnan Yukun	2:3 ✺
01.05.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Yunnan Yukun	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Yunnan Yukun - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLTW

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