Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 1

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Bramall Lane (Sheffield)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sheffield United		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.15
	3.4	3.1	2.25
	3.65	3.3	2.23
	3.5	3.3	2.22
	3.72	3.3	2.22
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.54	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.65	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.93)	3.25 ↑ (3.19)	2.19 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield United
27.1%

Draw
29.3%

Crystal Palace
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheffield United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.3%	16.3%	60.5%

Sheffield United - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Sheff Utd will win (votes: 10 - 23.3%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 26 - 60.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 45.9% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Foderingham W. (G) 15. Ahmedhodzic A. 12. Egan J. (C) 19. Robinson J. 2. Baldock G. 6. Basham C. 16. Norwood O. 23. Osborn B. 3. Lowe M. 11. Traore B. 32. Osula W.	1. Johnstone S. (G) 2. Ward J. (C) 6. Guehi M. 16. Andersen J. 3. Mitchell T. 8. Lerma J. 28. Doucoure C. 9. Ayew J. 10. Eze E. 15. Schlupp J. 22. Edouard O.
Substitutes
35. Brooks A. 1. Davies A. (G) 39. Hackford A. 27. Larouci Y. 34. Marsh L. 38. Seriki F. 25. Slimane A. 21. Souza V. 5. Trusty A.	29. Ahamada N. 17. Clyne N. 37. Gordon J. 14. Mateta J. 31. Matthews R. (G) 49. Rak-Sakyi J. 26. Richards C. 44. Riedewald J. 5. Tomkins J.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Hodgson R.

Preview

Sheff Utd is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Crystal Palace is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Crystal Palace have a series of home games.

Crystal Palace will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sheff Utd won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Utd won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield United
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Sheffield United - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
29.07.23	Derby County - Sheffield United	1:3 ✺
26.07.23	Sheffield United - Girona	0:2 ✺
25.07.23	Rotherham United - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
19.07.23	Estoril Praia - Sheffield United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLT
- Crystal Palace
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Crystal Palace - Lyon	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Crystal Palace - Sevilla	1:2 penalties ✺
26.07.23	Crystal Palace - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Crawley Town - Crystal Palace	0:4 ✺
15.07.23	Crystal Palace - Brøndby	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.05.21	Sheffield United - Crystal Palace	0:2
02.01.21	Crystal Palace - Sheffield United	2:0
01.02.20	Crystal Palace - Sheffield United	0:1
18.08.19	Sheffield United - Crystal Palace	1:0

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