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Current Win Probability
Derby County 52.6%
Draw 25%
Sheffield United 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
26.5%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
25.9%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derby County's performance.
Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sheffield United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sheffield United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94%
2%
4%
Derby County - Sheffield United Predictions
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 47 - 95.9%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 1 - 2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 90.3% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derby County will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 23. Ward J. 6. Langas S. 5. Clarke M. 3. Forsyth C. 18. Ozoh D. 27. Travis L. (C) 25. Brereton Diaz B. 19. Szmodics S. 34. Banel J. 9. Morris C.
17. Davies A. (G) 38. Seriki F. 2. Tanganga J. (C) 25. McGuinness M. 14. Burrows H. 8. Hamer G. 42. Peck S. 4. Arblaster O. 10. O'Hare C. 7. Cannon T. 45. Bamford P.
Substitutes
54. Allen C. 4. Batth D. 42. Clark B. 37. Eames O. 29. Fraulo O. 22. Johnston M. 15. Salvesen L. 28. Sanderson D. 31. Vickers J. (G)
46. Betts T. (G) 24. Chong T. 12. Hoever K. 9. Ings D. 43. McGlinchey H. 44. Riedewald J. 48. Rothwell J. 37. Sasnauskas D. 18. Soumare D.
Coaches
Eustace J.
Wilder C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Szmodics S. ⚽,
18', Langas S. 🟨,
26', Clarke M. 🟨,
45+2', Burrows H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Tanganga J. 🟨,
60', Banel J. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Cannon T. ⚽, Bamford P. (A),
64', Cannon T. ↓, Chong T. ↑,
64', Arblaster O. ↓, Rothwell J. ↑,
64', Seriki F. ↓, Hoever K. ↑,
68', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Peck S. ⚽, Hamer G. (A),
72', Hamer G. ↓, Ings D. ↑,
74', Forsyth C. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
75', Ozoh D. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
85', O'Hare C. ↓, Riedewald J. ↑,
89', Clark B. 🟨,
90+7', Chong T. 🟨,
90+7', Szmodics S. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Derby is the team to beat.
There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Brewster R.
(Injury)
Clark B.
(Injury)
Elder C.
(Toe Injury)
Murkin D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Sheff Utd: Cooper M.
(Knee Injury)
McCallum S.
(Ankle Injury)
Phillips K.
(Muscle Injury)
Shackleton J.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Campbell T.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
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Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 
Ward J. 
Langas S. 
Forsyth C. 
Brereton Diaz B. 
Szmodics S. 
Banel J. 
Davies A. (G) 
Fraulo O. 
Chong T. 
Sasnauskas D. 
Soumare D. 
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