Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Craven Cottage (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect
Belarus	22:45	Sport TV
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:45	Disney+
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay
France	20:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sport 3
Iceland	19:45	Viaplay
India	01:15	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 3
Italy	20:45	Como TV
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	03:45	SKY NET Sports 2
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
Norway	20:45	TV3+, Viaplay
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 7
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Events
South Korea	04:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Tanzania	22:45	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+


	Fulham		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.71	4.10	4.40
	1.7	3.85	4.65	Watch
	1.73	4.06	4.89
	1.73	3.98	4.62	Watch
	1.69	4	4.8
	1.74	3.99	4.63	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.95)	3.95 ↑ (3.75)	4.61 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
55.6%

Draw
23.9%

Crystal Palace
20.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

25.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fulham's performance.

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crystal Palace might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fulham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crystal Palace could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fulham - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: Fulham will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lecomte B. (G) 2. Tete K. 5. Andersen J. 3. Bassey C. (C) 33. Robinson A. 16. Berge S. 15. Larsson H. 14. Bobb O. 17. Iwobi A. 8. Palacios C. 9. Rodrigo Muniz	1. Henderson D. (C) 8. Lerma J. 26. Richards C. 21. Ahanor H. 30. Mingueza O. 19. Hughes W. 28. Doucoure C. 33. Chilwell B. 24. Osorio D. 29. Guessand E. 9. Nketiah E.
Substitutes
10. Cairney T. 21. Castagne T. 4. Cuenca J. 7. Garcia G. 11. Kevin 24. King J. 1. Leno B. (G) 20. Manuel Angel 6. Reed H.	44. Benitez W. (G) 5. Disasi A. 12. Gozo Z. 18. Kamada D. 25. Khalaili A. 11. McNeil D. 3. Mitchell T. 10. Pino Y. 20. Wharton A.
Coaches
Arbeloa A.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Berge S. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Nketiah E. ⚽, Mingueza O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Lerma J. 🟨,
58', Palacios C. ↓, King J. ↑,
58', Larsson H. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
58', Tete K. ↓, Castagne T. ↑,
61', Chilwell B. ↓, Mitchell T. ↑,
61', Doucoure C. ↓, Wharton A. ↑,
63', Guessand E. 🟨,
71', Nketiah E. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
72', Iwobi A. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
77', Osorio D. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
77', Guessand E. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
82', Bobb O. ↓, Kevin ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 0.

Fulham is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Crystal Palace is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Fulham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Fulham is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Fulham has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:27 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fulham against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with 14:23 goals (averaging 1.2:1.9 per game).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Crystal Palace: 5.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
24.10.26	Coventry City - Fulham	0:1 ✺
17.10.26	Fulham - Hull City	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Ipswich Town - Fulham	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Fulham - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	West Ham United - Fulham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLTW
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
25.10.26	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Beşiktaş - Crystal Palace	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
18.10.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Lyon - Crystal Palace	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
11.10.26	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
05.09.26	Fulham - Crystal Palace	2:3
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Fulham - Crystal Palace	1:2
English Premier League
01.01.26	Crystal Palace - Fulham	1:1
07.12.25	Fulham - Crystal Palace	1:2
English FA Cup
29.03.25	Fulham - Crystal Palace	0:3
English Premier League
22.02.25	Fulham - Crystal Palace	0:2
09.11.24	Crystal Palace - Fulham	0:2

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