Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Sheger Ketema		Dire Dawa City

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.32	3.65
	2.47	2.33	4
	2.3	2.45	3.2
	2.46	2.57	3.66	Watch
	2.5	2.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.34)	2.4 ↓ (2.58)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheger Ketema
37.4%

Draw
37.8%

Dire Dawa City
24.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

35.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

32.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Sheger Ketema - Dire Dawa City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Dire Dawa (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dire Dawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 13).

In recent matches, Sheger Ketema has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dire Dawa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sheger Ketema might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sheger Ketema	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
21.01.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Sheger Ketema	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTTTL
- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
22.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Saint George - Dire Dawa City	4:0 ✺
09.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
05.01.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
30.12.25	Dire Dawa City - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTTL

Sheger Ketema - Dire Dawa City