Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Sheger Ketema		Fasil Kenema

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.68	2.3
	3.46	2.61	2.41	Watch
	3.2	2.63	2.25
	3.4	2.93	2.3	Watch
	3.4	2.71	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.37)	2.71 ↓ (2.78)	2.32 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheger Ketema
27.1%

Draw
33.6%

Fasil Kenema
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

33.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

32.4%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Sheger Ketema - Fasil Kenema Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sheger Ketema will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Fasil Kenema will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', Ebenezer J. 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3).

Sheger Ketema has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fasil Kenema's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fasil Kenema might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Fasil Kenema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
09.01.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Sheger Ketema	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
25.12.25	Sheger Ketema - Hawassa City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Sheger Ketema	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL
- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
10.01.26	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Adama City - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Fasil Kenema - Ethio Electric	1:0 ✺
24.12.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Fasil Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWTW

Sheger Ketema - Fasil Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide