Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	Welwalo Adigrat		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.62	2.58
	3.17	2.64	2.55	Watch
	3.1	2.5	2.45
	3.24	2.42	2.63
	3.14	2.62	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.66)	2.56 ↓ (2.87)	2.55 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welwalo Adigrat
29%

Draw
35.4%

Sheger Ketema
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

31.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Welwalo Adigrat's form might have worsened.

Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Welwalo Adigrat - Sheger Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Adugna H. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Konkoni H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Haftey S. 🟥,
83', Shura B. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Recent performances by Welwalo Adigrat have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sheger Ketema's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sheger Ketema	38	11	17	10	34:31	3	50
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	-4	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
15.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
08.01.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Adama City	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Ethio Electric - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
24.12.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TTTTL
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
16.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Sheger Ketema	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
25.12.25	Sheger Ketema - Hawassa City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTLL

Welwalo Adigrat - Sheger Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide