Match Info

Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Ireland	LOI TV


	Derry City		Shelbourne

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.95
	2.45	3.2	2.78
	2.78	3.2	2.8
	2.78	2.90	2.78	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.75
	2.48	3.22	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.48)	3.13 ↓ (3.19)	2.79 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derry City
36.8%

Draw
29.8%

Shelbourne
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Derry City - Shelbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Beach E. (G) 2. Cotter B. 22. Barr C. 3. McClean P. 8. O'Reilly A. (C) 19. Fleming B. 28. Olayinka J. 14. Doherty B. 21. Santos K. 15. Clarke J. 23. Dummigan C.	1. Speel W. (G) 2. Gannon S. 24. Ibsen Rossi Z. 29. Barrett P. (C) 4. Ledwidge K. 17. Kelly D. 7. Wood H. 6. Lunney J. 27. Caffrey E. 10. Martin J. 9. Boyd S.
Substitutes
9. Akinyemi D. 25. Bannon A. 27. Boyce L. 26. Callister S. (G) 32. Doherty T. 31. Downey C. 16. McClean J. 24. Rylah H. 17. Thomas J.	15. Bone S. 5. Chapman E. 14. Coote A. 20. Freitas R. 36. Jarvis W. 28. Lundgren M. 25. Mbeng M. 11. Odubeko M. 31. Walsh C. (G)
Coaches
Lynch T.	O'Brien J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Fleming B. 🟨,
27', Lunney J. 🟨,
37', Gannon S. 🟨,
40', Cotter B. 🟨,
45', Dummigan C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Clarke J. ↓, Akinyemi D. ↑,
55', Wood H. 🟨,
60', Martin J. ↓, Odubeko M. ↑,
60', Boyd S. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
65', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
67', Doherty B. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
71', Dummigan C. ↓, Rylah H. ↑,
88', Wood H. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
88', Caffrey E. ↓, Chapman E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.

Derry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Shelbourne is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	45:42	3	41
6	Shelbourne	32	9	13	10	42:45	-3	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
22.05.26	Derry City - St Patricks Athletic	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Waterford - Derry City	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Drogheda United - Derry City	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Derry City - Galway United	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Bohemians Dublin - Derry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLTT
- Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division
22.05.26	Shelbourne - Waterford	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Bohemians Dublin - Shelbourne	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Dundalk - Shelbourne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
17.04.26	Shelbourne - Derry City	1:2
13.03.26	Derry City - Shelbourne	1:2
19.09.25	Derry City - Shelbourne	1:1
20.06.25	Shelbourne - Derry City	0:1
02.05.25	Derry City - Shelbourne	2:0
14.02.25	Shelbourne - Derry City	3:1
01.11.24	Derry City - Shelbourne	0:1

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