Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Tolka Park (Dublin)

Referee: Barbu M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1
Ireland	LOI TV


	Shelbourne		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.65	Watch
	4.6	3.7	1.7
	4.95	3.7	1.68
	5.76	3.56	1.69
	4.5	3.5	1.67	Watch
	5.29	3.81	1.71	Watch
	4.38	3.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (4.47)	3.69 ↓ (4.06)	1.69 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shelbourne
19%

Draw
25.5%

Rijeka
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

23.8%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

24.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	13.3%	76.7%

Shelbourne - Rijeka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Rijeka (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Rijeka (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Shelbourne (3.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rijeka will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rijeka will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelbourne (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Rijeka (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Speel W. (G) 25. Mbeng M. 15. Bone S. 29. Barrett P. (C) 18. Norris J. 7. Wood H. 6. Lunney J. 4. Ledwidge K. 14. Coote A. 11. Odubeko A. 23. McInroy K.	13. Zlomislic M. (C) 22. Orec A. 45. Majstorovic A. 6. Radeljic S. 34. Devetak M. 8. Petrovic D. 26. Dantas T. 20. Ndockyt M. 10. Fruk T. 4. Jankovic N. 77. Juric A.
Substitutes
27. Caffrey E. 5. Chapman E. 8. Coyle M. 2. Gannon S. 19. Healy L. (G) 17. Kelly D. 10. Martin J. 22. Moore S. 73. Moylan F. (G) 44. Ring D. 24. Temple L.	27. Butic S. 9. Cop D. 14. Gojak A. 51. Husic A. 21. Ilinkovic S. 2. Kitin L. 87. Kreilach D. 23. Lasickas J. 17. Menalo L. 25. Thaqi D. 99. Todorovic A. (G) 64. Yankov D.
Coaches
O'Brien J.	Djalovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Fruk T. ⚽, Dantas T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Coote A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Dantas T. ⚽, Devetak M. (A),
75', Juric A. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
78', Norris J. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
79', Lunney J. ↓, Chapman E. ↑,
85', Orec A. 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Odubeko A. (Pen),
90', 1 - 3, Orec A. ⚽, Jankovic N. (A),
90+1', Dantas T. ↓, Kreilach D. ↑,
90+2', McInroy K. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
90+3', Ndockyt M. ↓, Menalo L. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Rijeka is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shelbourne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division
09.08.25	Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.25	Rijeka - Shelbourne	1:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
02.08.25	Sligo Rovers - Shelbourne	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
23.07.25	Shelbourne - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 TWWLL
- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
09.08.25	Osijek - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.25	Rijeka - Shelbourne	1:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
03.08.25	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Rijeka	3:1 ET ✺
22.07.25	Rijeka - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.08.25	Rijeka - Shelbourne	1:2

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