The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shenzhen 9.4%
Draw 17%
Guangzhou City 73.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
28.7%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
27.1%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shenzhen's form might have worsened.
Guangzhou City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangzhou City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+23.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (-35.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
2.2%
86.7%
Shenzhen - Guangzhou City Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 5 - 11.1%). Guangzhou City will win (votes: 39 - 86.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou City: 76.8% – 96.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
Shenzhen has the most likely position - 15 (100%), has project points - 21, has currently - 21, was already of relegated.
Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shenzhen won 3.
Shenzhen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Guangzhou City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Shenzhen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Shenzhen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Shenzhen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.