The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou City 32.7%
Draw 29%
Shanghai Shenhua 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
28%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
28%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou City's form might have worsened.
Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanghai Shenhua's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanghai Shenhua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
16.7%
70.8%
Guangzhou City - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Guangzhou City will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 57.9% – 83.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 12).
Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Shanghai Shenhua has the most likely position - 13 (100%), has project points - 30, has currently - 30, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 2.
Guangzhou City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Shanghai Shenhua is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28-32.
Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou City won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.
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