The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou Evergrande 8.5%
Draw 16.4%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions 75.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.9%
25%
56.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.5%
24.5%
57.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Evergrande's form might have worsened.
Cangzhou Mighty Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cangzhou Mighty Lions's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cangzhou Mighty Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Cangzhou will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 17% – 68.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).
Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 3.
Guangzhou Evergrande has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Cangzhou is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
In this match Cangzhou is indisputable favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou Evergrande won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.