Match Info

League Two - Promotion Group - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base (Shenzhen) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:30	Migu


	Shenzhen 2028		Dalian Kewei

	1	X	2
	3.00	2.95	2.25
	2.9	3	2.22	Watch
	3.03	3.1	2.45
	3.14	3.17	2.2	Watch
	3	3.05	2.25
	3.12	3.12	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.23)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.29 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen 2028
30.2%

Draw
29.8%

Dalian Kewei
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

29.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen 2028 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shenzhen 2028's form might have worsened.

Dalian Kewei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalian Kewei's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen 2028 than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen 2028, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kewei than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalian Kewei, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shenzhen 2028 - Dalian Kewei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hao M. (G) 45. Yuan Z. 5. Hai J. 55. Huang Keqi 27. Liu Q. 47. Huang Z. 8. Chen W. 6. Luan Cheng (C) 17. Shi Z. 57. Wang Ziyang 49. Jiang W.	1. Zhang Chong (G) 27. Li Yang 5. Fu Yuncheng 35. Wang Peng (C) 14. Li Zhen 2. Zhang Zhen 18. Yao Xuchen 9. Liu Zhizhi 31. Peyzullah Bahtiyar 20. Zhang Xianbing 39. Zhang Dachi
Substitutes
15. Chen Z. 29. Deng Z. 30. Hu H. 20. Li L. 4. Li Mingjie 10. Li P. 14. Liu P. (G) 11. Lu C. 24. Pan N. 28. Wang Zhiyuan 12. Yongsu Huang 43. Yuan J. (G)	36. Ai Chuwei 29. Chen Yongze 11. Ge Yuxiang 37. Huang Jianming 23. Liu Hongchen 6. Liu Xiaolong 12. Li Wuze 26. Lu C. 13. Yan Xiaoyu (G) 3. Yu Yanhao 30. Yu Zeyuan 19. Zhang Huajun
Coaches
Wang Baoshan	Xu Hui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Li Zhen 🟨,
40', Huang Keqi 🟥,
43', Shi Z. ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
45+3', Peyzullah Bahtiyar 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Peyzullah Bahtiyar ↓, Ge Yuxiang ↑,
46', Liu Zhizhi ↓, Zhang Huajun ↑,
46', Zhang Zhen ↓, Chen Yongze ↑,
66', Yao Xuchen ↓, Liu Xiaolong ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Zhang Huajun ⚽, Zhang Dachi (A),
69', Huang Z. ↓, Li L. ↑,
75', Chen Z. 🟨,
83', Ge Yuxiang 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Luan Cheng (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Ge Yuxiang 🟨,

Preview

Shenzhen is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dalian Kewei is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shenzhen has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dalian Kewei	28	12	13	3	29:18	11	49
6	Shenzhen	28	11	9	8	40:31	9	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen 2028 FC
Chinese Yi League
17.10.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Shenzhen 2028	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Shanghai Port B - Shenzhen 2028	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Shandong Taishan B	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Dalian Kewei - Shenzhen 2028	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLTW
- Dalian Kewei
Chinese Yi League
17.10.26	Dalian Kewei - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:1 ✺
12.10.26	Dalian Kewei - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2:2 ✺
07.10.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Dalian Kewei	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Dalian Kewei - Shenzhen 2028	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Dalian Kewei	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
19.09.26	Dalian Kewei - Shenzhen 2028	0:0

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