Match Info

League Two - Promotion Group - Round 27

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass (Taiyuan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	15:00	Migu


	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai		Shenzhen 2028

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.10	3.30
	2.02	3.05	3.35	Watch
	2.03	3.18	3.46
	2.08	3.22	3.37	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.35
	2.08	3.06	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.28)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	3.36 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
44.4%

Draw
28.8%

Shenzhen 2028
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Shenzhen 2028 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen 2028 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Shenzhen 2028 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zhang Haixuan (G) 16. Ding Yunfeng 4. Wang J. 60. Zhang Junzhe 39. Zhang Tianlong 38. Zhang Hui 10. Iskandar B. (C) 9. Palmanjan K. 37. Nurlan Nurzat 23. Yang Yixuan 33. Chen Xiangyu	43. Yuan J. (G) 45. Yuan Z. 5. Hai J. 55. Huang Keqi 4. Li Mingjie 8. Chen W. 6. Luan Cheng (C) 15. Chen Z. 57. Wang Ziyang 11. Lu C. 20. Li L.
Substitutes
28. Chen Shaohao 2. Chen Z. 55. He L. 30. Ling Zhongyang 8. Luan H. 49. Lu Jiajun 24. Wang Haowen 15. Wang Kuan (G) 26. Xie Jinzheng 5. Yang Wenjie 31. Zhuoyu Y. (G) 20. Zhu Y.	29. Deng Z. 1. Hao M. (G) 47. Huang Z. 30. Hu H. 10. Li P. 14. Liu P. (G) 27. Liu Q. 24. Pan N. 17. Shi Z. 28. Wang Zhiyuan 12. Yongsu Huang
Coaches
Cao Rui	Wang Baoshan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Lu C. ↓, Yongsu Huang ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Wang Ziyang 🟨,
72', Li L. ↓, Huang Z. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Chen Xiangyu ⚽, Palmanjan K. (A),
86', Li Mingjie ↓, Li P. ↑,
86', Chen W. ↓, Pan N. ↑,
89', Yang Yixuan ↓, Wang Haowen ↑,
90+4', Zhang Hui ↓, Ling Zhongyang ↑,

Preview

In recent outings, Shanxi has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Shenzhen has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Shanxi holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shanxi has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	28	15	5	8	33:20	13	50
6	Shenzhen	28	11	9	8	40:31	9	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Chinese Yi League
12.10.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWLT
- Shenzhen 2028 FC
Chinese Yi League
11.10.26	Shanghai Port B - Shenzhen 2028	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Shandong Taishan B	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Dalian Kewei - Shenzhen 2028	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Hubei Istar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
13.09.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:0

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