Match Info

Super League - Round 25

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Bao'an Stadium (Shenzhen)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shenzhen Peng City		Shanghai Port

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.96	Watch
	3.25	3.40	2.00
	3.15	3.55	2.02	Watch
	3.36	3.84	2.11
	3.1	3.78	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.8	2.02
	3.32	3.8	2.07	Watch
	3.25	3.75	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.07)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)	2.04 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Peng City
28.8%

Draw
25.3%

Shanghai Port
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

24.9%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

24.9%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Shanghai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Shenzhen Peng City - Shanghai Port Predictions

Users Predictions: Shanghai Port will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Peng Peng (G) 16. Tang Miao 15. Yu Rui 3. Gabriel Xavier 20. Xuan Z. 36. Kartsev E. 2. Tian Yifan 8. Chow T. (C) 6. Yao Junsheng 11. Ademi A. 10. Dai Wai-Tsun	1. Yan Junling (C) 19. Wang Zhenao 13. Wei Zhen 5. Zhang Linpeng 32. Li Shuai 8. Jean Claude 21. Melendo O. 49. Li X. 47. Kuai Jiwen 17. Ampem P. O. 45. Leonardo
Substitutes
1. Ji J. (G) 14. Li Long 17. Li Ning 56. Wang Yuheng 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 23. Yang Yiming 39. Yu Menghui 49. Zhang H. (G) 19. Zhang Yufeng 25. Zhao Jianfei	3. Browning Tyias 12. Chen Wei (G) 23. Fu Huan 33. Liu Zhurun 38. Lu Yongtao 10. Mateus Vital 14. Orr M. 4. Wang Shenchao 7. Wu Lei 22. Yang A. 20. Yang Shiyuan 28. Yue Xin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Wang Zhenao 🟨,
43', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zhang Linpeng ↓, Browning Tyias ↑,
58', Dai Wai-Tsun ↓, Li Ning ↑,
58', Yao Junsheng ↓, Zhang Yufeng ↑,
62', Leonardo ↓, Wu Lei ↑,
62', Li Shuai ↓, Yue Xin ↑,
64', Tian Yifan ↓, Li Long ↑,
73', Wang Zhenao ↓, Yang A. ↑,
77', Ademi A. ↓, Yu Menghui ↑,
77', Yu Rui ↓, Yang Yiming ↑,
80', Li X. ↓, Mateus Vital ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Kuai Jiwen ⚽, Wu Lei (A),
90+8', Li Ning 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 0.

Recent performances by Shenzhen Peng City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shanghai Port is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shanghai Port may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shanghai Port will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Benkovic F. (Injury) Owusu-Sekyere D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Shanghai Port: Ferreira M. (Inactive) Gabrielzinho (Knee Injury) Grau J. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.5:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shanghai Port	26	10	8	8	40:33	7	33
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	8	4	14	34:45	-11	28

Last Results with these Odds

Shenzhen Peng City - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.42%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
22.08.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Zhejiang Professional	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	4:0 ✺
02.08.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLWL
- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
23.08.26	Shanghai Port - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Shanghai Port - Dalian Young Boy	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Port	2:3 ✺
09.08.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shanghai Port	2:3 ✺
01.08.26	Shanghai Port - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	2:1 penalties
Chinese Super League
06.05.26	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1
30.06.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Shanghai Port	1:2
23.02.25	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1
13.09.24	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0
05.05.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Shanghai Port	0:6

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