Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Yunnan Yukun		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.63	4.33	4.10
	1.65	4.15	4.35	Watch
	1.68	4.46	4.65
	1.74	4.24	3.92	Watch
	1.64	4.4	4.6
	1.62	4.34	4.51	Watch
	1.67	4.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.84)	4.32 ↑ (4.09)	4.38 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
56.9%

Draw
21.7%

Shenzhen Peng City
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

22.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Yunnan Yukun (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Yunnan Yukun will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 3. Tsui Wang-Kit 5. Shi Ke 18. Yi Teng (C) 21. Yang Zihao 7. Ye Chugui 8. Xu Xin 39. Abdusalam Bunyamin 34. Caio Vinicius 11. Taty Maritu O. 9. Cleber	13. Peng Peng (G) 16. Tang Miao 23. Yang Yiming 46. Shen H. 20. Xuan Z. 6. Yao Junsheng 31. Owusu-Sekyere D. 19. Zhang Yufeng 8. Chow T. 11. Ademi A. 7. Wesley Moraes (C)
Substitutes
1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 33. Burca A. 25. Deng Hanwen 22. Duan Liuyu 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 19. Huang Zichang 2. Hu Ruibao 10. Ionita II A. 30. Saeter J. 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 26. Zhang Chenliang	4. Jiang Zhipeng 1. Ji J. (G) 14. Li Long 17. Li Ning 2. Tian Yifan 56. Wang Yuheng 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 29. Xia Dalong 54. Yao J. 39. Yu Menghui 49. Zhang H. (G) 25. Zhao Jianfei
Coaches
Vinyals J.	Neilson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Chow T. ⚽, Wesley Moraes (A),
23', 1 - 1, Caio Vinicius ⚽, Shi Ke (A),
37', 2 - 1, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Abdusalam Bunyamin (A),
45+3', Yi Teng 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', Chow T. ↓, Xia Dalong ↑,
49', Yao Junsheng ↓, Zhao Jianfei ↑,
56', 3 - 1, Abdusalam Bunyamin ⚽, Taty Maritu O. (A),
64', Abdusalam Bunyamin ↓, Saeter J. ↑,
64', Ye Chugui ↓, Ionita II A. ↑,
69', Taty Maritu O. 🟨,
73', Caio Vinicius 🟨,
80', Tsui Wang-Kit ↓, Zhang Chenliang ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Wesley Moraes (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Xu Xin ↓, Hu Ruibao ↑,
90+2', Cleber ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Saeter J. (Own goal),
90+9', 4 - 3, Caio Vinicius ⚽,
90+12', Yang Yiming 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 10).

Recent performances by Yunnan Yukun have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shenzhen Peng City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Yunnan Yukun is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Dai Wai-Tsun (Injury) Gabriel Xavier (Red Card)

There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Benkovic F. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yunnan Yukun won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 3.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Yunnan Yukun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	54:51	3	38
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	8	4	14	34:45	-11	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	4:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
17.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Port	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	Shandong Taishan - Yunnan Yukun	4:3 ✺
03.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLWL
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
18.07.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
12.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Yunnan Yukun	3:4
26.07.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1
28.03.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Yunnan Yukun	3:4

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