Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Sheriff (Tiraspol)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Sheriff Tiraspol		Roma

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.45
	7.6	4.35	1.48	Watch
	7.5	4.2	1.48
	8.36	4.2	1.48
	6.5	3.9	1.4
	7.6	4.2	1.47
	7.6	4.3	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.52 ↑ (6.48)	4.19 ↑ (4.13)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDNxtra 6

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sheriff Tiraspol
12.6%

Draw
22.6%

Roma
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

22.7%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

20.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheriff Tiraspol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.6%	2.1%	87.2%

Sheriff Tiraspol - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% – 96.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Koval M. (G) 23. Tovar C. 15. Kiki G. 4. Garananga M. 28. Artunduaga A. 20. Zohouri A. 69. Ademo P. 8. Joao Paulo 30. Ankeye D. 14. Talal A. (C) 17. Ngom Mbekeli J.	99. Svilar M. (G) 14. Llorente D. 5. Ndicka E. 23. Mancini G. (C) 2. Karsdorp R. 20. Sanches R. 4. Cristante B. 22. Aouar H. 92. El Shaarawy S. 90. Lukaku R. 59. Zalewski N.
Substitutes
16. Apostolakis K. 31. Botan D. 29. Colis V. 26. Dijinari A. 90. Luvannor 32. Novicov R. 33. Pascenco S. (G) 11. Ricardinho 1. Straistari V. (G) 22. Vardar B.	11. Belotti A. 63. Boer P. (G) 52. Bove E. 19. Celik Z. 68. D'Alessio F. 21. Dybala P. 66. Mannini M. 60. Pagano R. 16. Paredes L. 1. Patricio R. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 37. Spinazzola L.
Coaches
Bordin R.	Foti S.

Preview

Sheriff is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Roma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Roma have a series of home games.

In this match Roma is certain favorite.

There will not play in Sheriff: Ouattara A. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Abraham T. (Knee Injury) Kumbulla M. (Knee Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Muscle Injury) Smalling C. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Sheriff: Akanbi R. (Injury) Kyabou M. (Injury) Vinicius Paiva (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldovan Super Liga
16.09.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - Florești	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.08.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - KÍ Klaksvík	2:1 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
27.08.23	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	KÍ Klaksvík - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:1 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
20.08.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - Dacia Buiucani	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLTW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
17.09.23	Roma - Empoli	7:0 ✺
01.09.23	Roma - Milan	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Verona - Roma	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Roma - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Roma - Partizani Tirana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTW

Upcoming Matches