Match Info

Serie A - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, Supersport Action
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Kuwait	Shasha
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Verona		Roma

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.5	1.38	Watch
	9.25	5.25	1.33
	8.8	4.95	1.37	Watch
	9.85	5.2	1.37
	9.46	5.15	1.37	Watch
	8	4.5	1.36
	8.85	5.01	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.96 ↑ (4.95)	4.94 ↑ (3.82)	1.37 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
10.7%

Draw
19.4%

Roma
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

25.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

25.8%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Verona's form might have worsened.

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	7.4%	85.2%

Verona - Roma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Roma will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (C) 15. Nelsson V. 5. Edmundsson A. 6. Valentini N. 7. Belghali R. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 4. Lovric S. 21. Harroui A. 3. Frese M. 10. Suslov T. 18. Bowie K.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 87. Ghilardi D. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 18. Soule M. 21. Dybala P. 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
72. Ajayi J. 73. Al Musrati 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 24. Bernede A. 12. Bradaric D. 70. Cham F. 41. Isaac 14. Lirola P. 36. Niasse C. 34. Perilli S. (G) 9. Sarr A. 19. Slotsager T. 30. Szimionas L. 94. Toniolo G. (G) 90. Vermesan I.	3. Angelino 70. De Marzi G. (G) 9. Dovbyk A. 8. El Aynaoui N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 95. Gollini P. (G) 17. Kone M. 74. Seck M. 78. Vaz R. 20. Venturino L. 91. Zelezny R. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Sammarco P.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Valentini N. 🟨,
45+1', Lovric S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ghilardi D. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
46', Pisilli N. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
50', Valentini N. 🟨,
56', Malen D. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 0 - 1, Malen D. ⚽, Dybala P. (A),
58', Lovric S. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
58', Suslov T. ↓, Bella-Kotchap A. ↑,
70', Harroui A. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
70', Frese M. ↓, Bradaric D. ↑,
71', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
72', Soule M. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
73', Ziolkowski J. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
84', Malen D. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
86', Belghali R. ↓, Vermesan I. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, El Shaarawy S. ⚽, Dybala P. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Verona is Relegated to Serie B

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 2.

Verona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Roma is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Roma is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Verona won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 12.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	11	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Inter Milan - Verona	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Verona - Como	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Juventus - Verona	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Verona - Lecce	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Verona - Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 TLTTL
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Roma - Lazio	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Parma - Roma	2:3 ✺
04.05.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Bologna - Roma	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Roma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Roma - Verona	2:0
19.04.25	Roma - Verona	1:0
03.11.24	Verona - Roma	3:2
20.01.24	Roma - Verona	2:1
26.08.23	Verona - Roma	2:1
19.02.23	Roma - Verona	1:0
31.10.22	Verona - Roma	1:3

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