Match Info

I Liqa - Round 22

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: ASCO Arena (Baku)


	Səbail		Shimal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.15	6.3	12	Watch
	1.14	6.79	11.31
	1.31	5.48	6.72	Watch
	1.17	6	13
	1.13	6.35	13.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↑ (1.17)	6.18 ↑ (5.9)	11.31 ↓ (11.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Səbail
77.2%

Draw
14.7%

Shimal
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.9%

15.3%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Shimal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Səbail - Shimal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Quliyev K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Quliyev K. (Penalty Awarded),
74', 3 - 0, Paulinho ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 0, Quliyev K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Səbail is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shimal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Səbail is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Səbail won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sabail	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7
9	Shimal	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
09.04.26	Şəfa - Səbail	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Səbail - Baku Sporting	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Səbail - MOIK Baku	2:2 ✺
12.03.26	Mingachevir - Səbail	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Səbail	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTWW
- FK Shimal
Azerbaijan First Division
09.04.26	Shimal - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Shahdag Qusar - Shimal	0:2 ET ✺
19.03.26	Shimal - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Shimal - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Zagatala - Shimal	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.2 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
24.12.25	Səbail - Shimal	3:4
02.10.25	Shimal - Səbail	0:0

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