Match Info

I Liqa - Round 25

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Shahdag Qusar		Mingachevir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	3.35	1.72
	4.17	3.35	1.74
	4.4	3.1	1.73
	4.49	3.4	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (4.05)	3.3 ↓ (3.55)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shahdag Qusar
20.7%

Draw
27.2%

Mingachevir
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.4%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

25%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shahdag Qusar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mingachevir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Shahdag Qusar - Mingachevir Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shahdag will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mingachevir will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Adjey K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, Chipesse A. ⚽,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Mingachevir is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shahdag won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Shahdag won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sahdag Qusar	4	4	0	0	13:1	12	12
8	Mingachevir	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shahdag Qusar
Azerbaijan First Division
29.04.26	MOIK Baku - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Zagatala - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Shahdag Qusar - Cəbrayıl	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Difai Ağsu - Shahdag Qusar	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Shahdag Qusar - Shimal	0:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTWL
- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
29.04.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	7:1 ✺
22.04.26	Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Shimal - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Mingachevir - Şəfa	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
24.12.25	Mingachevir - Shahdag Qusar	1:1
01.10.25	Shahdag Qusar - Mingachevir	0:0

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