Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 8

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Referee: Shimizu S. (Jpn)


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	7	Watch
	1.43	4	6
	1.45	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.58	7
	1.47	4.58	6.77
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.41	4.45	6.92	Watch
	1.44	4.3	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.34)	4.33 ↓ (4.92)	6.79 ↓ (8.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
64.7%

Draw
21.5%

Tokushima Vortis
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

19%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

18.1%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Shimizu S Pulse - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tokushima will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Gonda S. (G) 28. Yoshida Y. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 3. Takahashi Y. 14. Yamahara R. 71. Nakamura R. 13. Miyamoto K. 44. Motoki N. 41. Shirasaki R. 11. Lucas Braga 30. Chiba K.	1. Suarez J. (G) 18. Elsinho 3. Ishio R. 5. Mori K. 42. Hashimoto K. 20. Kodama S. 54. Nagaki R. 13. Nishino T. 8. Kakitani Y. 11. Sugimori K. 7. Tiago Alves
Substitutes
10. Carlinhos 27. Gunji R. 5. Kitazume K. 19. Matsuzaki K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 99. Tanque D. 21. Yajima S.	14. Hyon R. 4. Kaique 33. Nakano K. 17. Takada S. 15. Tanahashi A. 21. Tanaka H. (G) 16. Watari D.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Masuda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Lucas Braga ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Nagaki R. 🟨,
54', Kakitani Y. ↓, Watari D. ↑,
62', Chiba K. ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
62', Motoki N. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
69', Nishino T. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
69', Sugimori K. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
74', Nakamura R. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
84', Tiago Alves ↓, Kaique ↑,
84', Nagaki R. ↓, Hyon R. ↑,
90+1', Carlinhos 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Tanahashi A. (Pen),
90+2', Lucas Braga ↓, Tanque D. ↑,
90+2', Yoshida Y. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 0.

Recent matches Shimizu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tokushima is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Shimizu is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
30.03.24	Montedio Yamagata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
20.03.24	JEF United Chiba - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Shimizu S-Pulse	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
30.03.24	Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Vegalta Sendai - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
20.03.24	Tokushima Vortis - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Mito HollyHock - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Nagano Parceiro - Tokushima Vortis	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokushima Vortis	0:0
03.05.23	Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
Japan J League Cup
13.04.22	Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S-Pulse	4:1
02.03.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
Japan J1 League
11.07.21	Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:2
04.04.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokushima Vortis	0:3
Japan J2 League
20.11.16	Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2

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