Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Gyumri City Stadium (Gyumri)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Shirak Gyumri		Gandzasar

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.42
	2.66	3.39	2.5	Watch
	2.14	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 (2.49)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.71 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shirak Gyumri
37.1%

Draw
28.7%

Gandzasar
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

27.4%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shirak Gyumri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Gandzasar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shirak Gyumri than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gandzasar than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Shirak Gyumri - Gandzasar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Karapetyan L. (G) 21. Kodia D. 11. Manukyan S. 6. Misakyan R. (C) 20. Mkrtchyan R. 4. Mnatsakanyan H. 9. Mryan L. 2. Pahlevanyan H. 5. Sumbulyan T. 22. Tarloyan M. 26. Vidic A.	1. Matevosyan G. (G) 14. Emmanuel O. C. 33. Hayrapetyan V. 5. Kanda S. 77. Khachatryan A. 7. Mani B. 15. Mensah A. 17. Merrill L. 18. Paronyan G. 10. Petrosyan L. 4. Voskanyan T. (C)
Substitutes
25. Akulyan G. 8. Darbinyan L. 18. Ghukasyan S. 1. Hovhannisyan H. (G) 96. Hovhannisyan S. (G) 17. Papikyan E. 66. Sargsyan V. 14. Tovmasyan V. 19. Vardanyan R. 88. Vardanyan Y.	28. Ajibona U. 11. Alaverdyan N. 9. Avetisyan P. 66. Duffour K. 80. Grigoryan M. 29. Kone S. 31. Lobusov N. (G) 2. Manukyan P. 22. Martirosyan Y. 6. Minasyan V. 20. Obonde S. 13. Rostokin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Khachatryan A. 🟨,
45+1', Hayrapetyan V. 🟨,
45+2', Merrill L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tarloyan M. ↓, Akulyan G. ↑,
57', Voskanyan T. 🟨,
65', Manukyan S. ↓, Sargsyan V. ↑,
66', Mryan L. ↓, Tovmasyan V. ↑,
67', Matevosyan G. 🟥,
73', Paronyan G. ↓, Lobusov N. ↑,
74', Mani B. ↓, Ajibona U. ↑,
75', Petrosyan L. ↓, Duffour K. ↑,
76', Kodia D. ↓, Darbinyan L. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Misakyan R. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+13', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shirak won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shirak won 4 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Shirak won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.6:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shirak Gyumri
Armenian Premier League
09.11.25	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Shirak Gyumri - Van	2:3 ✺
Armenian Cup
28.10.25	Araks Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	0:4 ✺
Armenian Premier League
24.10.25	Urartu Yerevan - Shirak Gyumri	5:0 ✺
17.10.25	Shirak Gyumri - Alashkert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWLL
- Gandzasar FC
Armenian Premier League
09.11.25	Van - Gandzasar	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Gandzasar - Alashkert	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Pyunik - Gandzasar	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gandzasar - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ararat-Armenia - Gandzasar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
30.08.25	Gandzasar - Shirak Gyumri	1:1
31.10.24	Shirak Gyumri - Gandzasar	0:0
27.09.24	Gandzasar - Shirak Gyumri	1:2
Armenian First League
19.04.22	Shirak Gyumri - Gandzasar	0:0
09.12.21	Gandzasar - Shirak Gyumri	0:4
Armenian Premier League
23.09.20	Gandzasar - Shirak Gyumri	5:0
02.12.19	Gandzasar - Shirak Gyumri	1:0

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