The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 24.9%
Draw 27.5%
Barnet 47.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.2%
27.4%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
27%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Shrewsbury Town - Barnet Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brook W. (G) 2. Hoole L. 5. Boyle W. (C) 3. Ruffels J. 17. Jude-Boyd A. 10. Sang T. 21. Gray W. 11. Berkoe K. 8. Fletcher I. 13. Davison J. 27. Gbode J.
13. Cox M. (G) 4. Collinge D. (C) 25. Tavares N. 6. Williams Z. 5. Senior A. 22. Gallagher O. 23. Reeves J. 11. Kanu I. 8. Lakin C. 10. Ofoborh N. 20. Tshimanga K.
Substitutes
46. Aiston H. 4. England I. 23. Lee I. 9. Lloyd G. 12. Proctor S. (G) 6. Stubbs S. 7. Turner-Cooke J.
1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 14. Comley B. 30. Kenlock M. 7. Knowles T. 9. Maskell J. 33. Siaw B. 12. Wright W.
Coaches
Cowan G.
Brennan D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Reeves J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Davison J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Williams Z. ↓, Knowles T. ↑,
61', Kanu I. ↓, Maskell J. ↑,
61', Reeves J. ↓, Kenlock M. ↑,
65', Gray W. ↓, Turner-Cooke J. ↑,
68', Turner-Cooke J. 🟨,
72', Hoole L. ↓, Stubbs S. ↑,
79', Stubbs S. ↓, Lee I. ↑,
82', Gbode J. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Lakin C. ⚽, Tshimanga K. (A),
90', 1 - 3, Knowles T. ⚽, Lakin C. (A),
90+1', Ofoborh N. ↓, Comley B. ↑,
90+2', Tavares N. ↓, Wright W. ↑,
90+5', Tshimanga K. ↓, Siaw B. ↑,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Shrewsbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Barnet has had a series of home games.
Barnet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Barnet: 21.27% Shrewsbury: 0.72%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Barnet
8
5
3
0
20:11
9
18
18
Shrewsbury
10
3
2
5
9:15
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Shrewsbury Town - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.22%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Barnet - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.4%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.