Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Shumbrat Saransk		Rodina Moscow 3

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	5.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	5.58 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shumbrat Saransk
58.7%

Draw
24.7%

Rodina Moscow 3
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shumbrat Saransk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Shumbrat Saransk - Rodina Moscow 3 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
60', 0 - 1, Kazantsev A. (Penalty Awarded),
68', 0 - 2, Khudoklinov V. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Lomukhin A. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, Krol K. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Karpov K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Shumbrat is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shumbrat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Shumbrat Saransk	26	13	5	8	46:35	11	44
8	Rodina Moscow 3	26	12	4	10	50:41	9	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
05.09.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Shumbrat Saransk	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Zenit Penza	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Shumbrat Saransk	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - 2DROTS Moscow	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTTL
- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
05.09.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Spartak Tambov	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Rodina Moscow 3	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Volna Kovernino	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ryazan - Rodina Moscow 3	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Rotor 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
23.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:1

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